Search Results for author: Alain Hecq

Found 13 papers, 0 papers with code

Spectral identification and estimation of mixed causal-noncausal invertible-noninvertible models

no code implementations30 Oct 2023 Alain Hecq, Daniel Velasquez-Gaviria

This paper introduces new techniques for estimating, identifying and simulating mixed causal-noncausal invertible-noninvertible models.

Optimization of the Generalized Covariance Estimator in Noncausal Processes

no code implementations26 Jun 2023 Gianluca Cubadda, Francesco Giancaterini, Alain Hecq, Joann Jasiak

When the number and type of nonlinear autocovariances included in the objective function of a GCov estimator is insufficient/inadequate, or the error density is too close to the Gaussian, identification issues can arise.

Inference in Non-stationary High-Dimensional VARs

no code implementations2 Feb 2023 Alain Hecq, Luca Margaritella, Stephan Smeekes

We combine this lag augmentation with a post-double-selection procedure in which a set of initial penalized regressions is performed to select the relevant variables for both the Granger causing and caused variables.

Time Series Time Series Analysis +1

Hierarchical Regularizers for Reverse Unrestricted Mixed Data Sampling Regressions

no code implementations25 Jan 2023 Alain Hecq, Marie Ternes, Ines Wilms

Reverse Unrestricted MIxed DAta Sampling (RU-MIDAS) regressions are used to model high-frequency responses by means of low-frequency variables.

Spectral estimation for mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models

no code implementations24 Nov 2022 Alain Hecq, Daniel Velasquez-Gaviria

This paper investigates new ways of estimating and identifying causal, noncausal, and mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models driven by a non-Gaussian error sequence.

Detecting common bubbles in multivariate mixed causal-noncausal models

no code implementations23 Jul 2022 Gianluca Cubadda, Alain Hecq, Elisa Voisin

This paper proposes methods to investigate whether the bubble patterns observed in individual series are common to various series.

Is climate change time reversible?

no code implementations16 May 2022 Francesco Giancaterini, Alain Hecq, Claudio Morana

This paper proposes strategies to detect time reversibility in stationary stochastic processes by using the properties of mixed causal and noncausal models.

A short term credibility index for central banks under inflation targeting: an application to Brazil

no code implementations2 May 2022 Alain Hecq, Joao Issler, Elisa Voisin

This paper uses predictive densities obtained via mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models to evaluate the statistical sustainability of Brazilian inflation targeting system with the tolerance bounds.

Hierarchical Regularizers for Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregressions

no code implementations23 Feb 2021 Alain Hecq, Marie Ternes, Ines Wilms

Mixed-frequency Vector AutoRegressions (MF-VAR) model the dynamics between variables recorded at different frequencies.

Adaptive Random Bandwidth for Inference in CAViaR Models

no code implementations2 Feb 2021 Alain Hecq, Li Sun

This paper investigates the size performance of Wald tests for CAViaR models (Engle and Manganelli, 2004).

Density Estimation

Inference in mixed causal and noncausal models with generalized Student's t-distributions

no code implementations3 Dec 2020 Francesco Giancaterini, Alain Hecq

The properties of Maximum Likelihood estimator in mixed causal and noncausal models with a generalized Student's t error process are reviewed.

Time Series Analysis

Dimension Reduction for High Dimensional Vector Autoregressive Models

no code implementations7 Sep 2020 Gianluca Cubadda, Alain Hecq

This paper aims to decompose a large dimensional vector autoregessive (VAR) model into two components, the first one being generated by a small-scale VAR and the second one being a white noise sequence.

Dimensionality Reduction Vocal Bursts Intensity Prediction

Predicting crashes in oil prices during the COVID-19 pandemic with mixed causal-noncausal models

no code implementations25 Nov 2019 Alain Hecq, Elisa Voisin

This paper aims at shedding light upon how transforming or detrending a series can substantially impact predictions of mixed causal-noncausal (MAR) models, namely dynamic processes that depend not only on their lags but also on their leads.

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