no code implementations • 30 Oct 2023 • Alain Hecq, Daniel Velasquez-Gaviria
This paper introduces new techniques for estimating, identifying and simulating mixed causal-noncausal invertible-noninvertible models.
no code implementations • 26 Jun 2023 • Gianluca Cubadda, Francesco Giancaterini, Alain Hecq, Joann Jasiak
When the number and type of nonlinear autocovariances included in the objective function of a GCov estimator is insufficient/inadequate, or the error density is too close to the Gaussian, identification issues can arise.
no code implementations • 2 Feb 2023 • Alain Hecq, Luca Margaritella, Stephan Smeekes
We combine this lag augmentation with a post-double-selection procedure in which a set of initial penalized regressions is performed to select the relevant variables for both the Granger causing and caused variables.
no code implementations • 25 Jan 2023 • Alain Hecq, Marie Ternes, Ines Wilms
Reverse Unrestricted MIxed DAta Sampling (RU-MIDAS) regressions are used to model high-frequency responses by means of low-frequency variables.
no code implementations • 24 Nov 2022 • Alain Hecq, Daniel Velasquez-Gaviria
This paper investigates new ways of estimating and identifying causal, noncausal, and mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models driven by a non-Gaussian error sequence.
no code implementations • 23 Jul 2022 • Gianluca Cubadda, Alain Hecq, Elisa Voisin
This paper proposes methods to investigate whether the bubble patterns observed in individual series are common to various series.
no code implementations • 16 May 2022 • Francesco Giancaterini, Alain Hecq, Claudio Morana
This paper proposes strategies to detect time reversibility in stationary stochastic processes by using the properties of mixed causal and noncausal models.
no code implementations • 2 May 2022 • Alain Hecq, Joao Issler, Elisa Voisin
This paper uses predictive densities obtained via mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models to evaluate the statistical sustainability of Brazilian inflation targeting system with the tolerance bounds.
no code implementations • 23 Feb 2021 • Alain Hecq, Marie Ternes, Ines Wilms
Mixed-frequency Vector AutoRegressions (MF-VAR) model the dynamics between variables recorded at different frequencies.
no code implementations • 2 Feb 2021 • Alain Hecq, Li Sun
This paper investigates the size performance of Wald tests for CAViaR models (Engle and Manganelli, 2004).
no code implementations • 3 Dec 2020 • Francesco Giancaterini, Alain Hecq
The properties of Maximum Likelihood estimator in mixed causal and noncausal models with a generalized Student's t error process are reviewed.
no code implementations • 7 Sep 2020 • Gianluca Cubadda, Alain Hecq
This paper aims to decompose a large dimensional vector autoregessive (VAR) model into two components, the first one being generated by a small-scale VAR and the second one being a white noise sequence.
no code implementations • 25 Nov 2019 • Alain Hecq, Elisa Voisin
This paper aims at shedding light upon how transforming or detrending a series can substantially impact predictions of mixed causal-noncausal (MAR) models, namely dynamic processes that depend not only on their lags but also on their leads.