Search Results for author: Alessandro Brusaferri

Found 4 papers, 0 papers with code

On-line conformalized neural networks ensembles for probabilistic forecasting of day-ahead electricity prices

no code implementations3 Apr 2024 Alessandro Brusaferri, Andrea Ballarino, Luigi Grossi, Fabrizio Laurini

Probabilistic electricity price forecasting (PEPF) is subject of increasing interest, following the demand for proper quantification of prediction uncertainty, to support the operation in complex power markets with increasing share of renewable generation.

Probabilistic electric load forecasting through Bayesian Mixture Density Networks

no code implementations23 Dec 2020 Alessandro Brusaferri, Matteo Matteucci, Stefano Spinelli, Andrea Vitali

Probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) is a key component in the extended tool-chain required for efficient management of smart energy grids.

Load Forecasting Management +1

Identification of Probability weighted ARX models with arbitrary domains

no code implementations29 Sep 2020 Alessandro Brusaferri, Matteo Matteucci, Stefano Spinelli

Hybrid system identification is a key tool to achieve reliable models of Cyber-Physical Systems from data.

Estimation of Switched Markov Polynomial NARX models

no code implementations29 Sep 2020 Alessandro Brusaferri, Matteo Matteucci, Stefano Spinelli

This work targets the identification of a class of models for hybrid dynamical systems characterized by nonlinear autoregressive exogenous (NARX) components, with finite-dimensional polynomial expansions, and by a Markovian switching mechanism.

regression

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