no code implementations • 3 Apr 2024 • Alessandro Brusaferri, Andrea Ballarino, Luigi Grossi, Fabrizio Laurini
Probabilistic electricity price forecasting (PEPF) is subject of increasing interest, following the demand for proper quantification of prediction uncertainty, to support the operation in complex power markets with increasing share of renewable generation.
no code implementations • 23 Dec 2020 • Alessandro Brusaferri, Matteo Matteucci, Stefano Spinelli, Andrea Vitali
Probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) is a key component in the extended tool-chain required for efficient management of smart energy grids.
no code implementations • 29 Sep 2020 • Alessandro Brusaferri, Matteo Matteucci, Stefano Spinelli
Hybrid system identification is a key tool to achieve reliable models of Cyber-Physical Systems from data.
no code implementations • 29 Sep 2020 • Alessandro Brusaferri, Matteo Matteucci, Stefano Spinelli
This work targets the identification of a class of models for hybrid dynamical systems characterized by nonlinear autoregressive exogenous (NARX) components, with finite-dimensional polynomial expansions, and by a Markovian switching mechanism.