Search Results for author: Alexander Jordan

Found 2 papers, 1 papers with code

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts with the R package scoringRules

1 code implementation14 Sep 2017 Alexander Jordan, Fabian Krüger, Sebastian Lerch

Probabilistic forecasts in the form of probability distributions over future events have become popular in several fields including meteorology, hydrology, economics, and demography.

Computation Applications

Of Quantiles and Expectiles: Consistent Scoring Functions, Choquet Representations, and Forecast Rankings

no code implementations27 Mar 2015 Werner Ehm, Tilmann Gneiting, Alexander Jordan, Fabian Krüger

We show that any scoring function that is consistent for a quantile or an expectile functional, respectively, can be represented as a mixture of extremal scoring functions that form a linearly parameterized family.

Decision Making

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