no code implementations • ACL 2021 • Piyawat Lertvittayakumjorn, Ivan Petej, Yang Gao, Yamuna Krishnamurthy, Anna Van Der Gaag, Robert Jago, Kostas Stathis
Health professional regulators aim to protect the health and well-being of patients and the public by setting standards for scrutinising and overseeing the training and conduct of health and care professionals.
no code implementations • 4 Jul 2021 • Vladimir Vovk, Ivan Petej, Alex Gammerman
This note proposes a way of making probability forecasting rules less sensitive to changes in data distribution, concentrating on the simple case of binary classification.
no code implementations • 20 Feb 2021 • Vladimir Vovk, Ivan Petej, Ilia Nouretdinov, Ernst Ahlberg, Lars Carlsson, Alex Gammerman
We argue for supplementing the process of training a prediction algorithm by setting up a scheme for detecting the moment when the distribution of the data changes and the algorithm needs to be retrained.
no code implementations • 3 Nov 2019 • Vladimir Vovk, Ivan Petej, Ilia Nouretdinov, Valery Manokhin, Alex Gammerman
Conformal predictive systems are a recent modification of conformal predictors that output, in regression problems, probability distributions for labels of test observations rather than set predictions.
no code implementations • 18 Feb 2019 • Vladimir Vovk, Ivan Petej, Paolo Toccaceli, Alex Gammerman
Most existing examples of full conformal predictive systems, split-conformal predictive systems, and cross-conformal predictive systems impose severe restrictions on the adaptation of predictive distributions to the test object at hand.
no code implementations • 14 Mar 2016 • Vladimir Vovk, Ilia Nouretdinov, Valentina Fedorova, Ivan Petej, Alex Gammerman
We study optimal conformity measures for various criteria of efficiency of classification in an idealised setting.
1 code implementation • NeurIPS 2015 • Vladimir Vovk, Ivan Petej, Valentina Fedorova
This paper studies theoretically and empirically a method of turning machine-learning algorithms into probabilistic predictors that automatically enjoys a property of validity (perfect calibration) and is computationally efficient.
no code implementations • 21 Jun 2014 • Vladimir Vovk, Ivan Petej, Valentina Fedorova
This paper proposes a new method of probabilistic prediction, which is based on conformal prediction.
1 code implementation • 31 Oct 2012 • Vladimir Vovk, Ivan Petej
This paper continues study, both theoretical and empirical, of the method of Venn prediction, concentrating on binary prediction problems.