1 code implementation • 26 Jun 2018 • Johan Dahlin, Adrian Wills, Brett Ninness
Pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings (pmMH) is a versatile algorithm for sampling from target distributions which are not easy to evaluate point-wise.
1 code implementation • 4 Jan 2018 • Johan Dahlin, Adrian Wills, Brett Ninness
The computation of Bayesian estimates of system parameters and functions of them on the basis of observed system performance data is a common problem within system identification.
Computation Computational Finance
no code implementations • 17 Nov 2015 • Johan Dahlin, Fredrik Lindsten, Joel Kronander, Thomas B. Schön
Pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings (pmMH) is a powerful method for Bayesian inference in models where the posterior distribution is analytical intractable or computationally costly to evaluate directly.
1 code implementation • 5 Nov 2015 • Johan Dahlin, Thomas B. Schön
This tutorial provides a gentle introduction to the particle Metropolis-Hastings (PMH) algorithm for parameter inference in nonlinear state-space models together with a software implementation in the statistical programming language R. We employ a step-by-step approach to develop an implementation of the PMH algorithm (and the particle filter within) together with the reader.
2 code implementations • 23 Jun 2015 • Johan Dahlin, Mattias Villani, Thomas B. Schön
We consider the problem of approximate Bayesian parameter inference in non-linear state-space models with intractable likelihoods.
no code implementations • 20 Mar 2015 • Thomas B. Schön, Fredrik Lindsten, Johan Dahlin, Johan Wågberg, Christian A. Naesseth, Andreas Svensson, Liang Dai
One of the key challenges in identifying nonlinear and possibly non-Gaussian state space models (SSMs) is the intractability of estimating the system state.
1 code implementation • 12 Feb 2015 • Manon Kok, Johan Dahlin, Thomas B. Schön, Adrian Wills
Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation using Newton's method in nonlinear state space models (SSMs) is a challenging problem due to the analytical intractability of the log-likelihood and its gradient and Hessian.
1 code implementation • 12 Feb 2015 • Johan Dahlin, Fredrik Lindsten, Thomas B. Schön
A possible application is parameter inference in the challenging class of SSMs with intractable likelihoods.
no code implementations • 6 Feb 2015 • Andreas Svensson, Johan Dahlin, Thomas B. Schön
Gaussian process regression is a popular method for non-parametric probabilistic modeling of functions.
no code implementations • 4 Nov 2013 • Johan Dahlin, Fredrik Lindsten, Thomas B. Schön
Particle Metropolis-Hastings (PMH) allows for Bayesian parameter inference in nonlinear state space models by combining Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and particle filtering.
no code implementations • 4 Nov 2013 • Johan Dahlin, Fredrik Lindsten
Finally, we use a heuristic procedure to obtain a revised parameter iterate, providing an automatic trade-off between exploration and exploitation of the surrogate model.
no code implementations • 1 Sep 2013 • Johan Dahlin, Pontus Svenson
This ensemble can found by re-sampling methods, multiple runs of a stochastic community detection method, or by several different community detection algorithms applied to the same network.