2 code implementations • 9 Jul 2020 • Isaac Lavine, Andrew Cron, Mike West
Bayesian computation for filtering and forecasting analysis is developed for a broad class of dynamic models.
Methodology Computation
1 code implementation • 15 Jun 2019 • Isaac Lavine, Michael Lindon, Mike West
The adaptivity allows for changes in the sets of favored models over time, and is guided by the specific forecasting goals.
Methodology Applications Computation
2 code implementations • 14 Aug 2018 • Lindsay R. Berry, Paul Helman, Mike West
With a focus on multi-step ahead forecasting of daily sales of many supermarket items, we adapt dynamic count mixture models to forecast individual customer transactions, and introduce novel dynamic binary cascade models for predicting counts of items per transaction.
Methodology Applications 62F15 (primary), 62M10, 62M20, (secondary)
2 code implementations • 14 May 2018 • Lindsay Berry, Mike West
Novel univariate models synthesise dynamic generalized linear models for binary and conditionally Poisson time series, with dynamic random effects for over-dispersion.
Methodology Applications 62M10, 62F15, 62M20
1 code implementation • 6 Mar 2018 • Matthew C. Johnson, Mike West
This paper reviews background and examples of Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS), and develops details in a subset of BPS mixture models.
Methodology
1 code implementation • 22 Jan 2018 • Lorin Crawford, Seth R. Flaxman, Daniel E. Runcie, Mike West
The central aim in this paper is to address variable selection questions in nonlinear and nonparametric regression.