Search Results for author: Peter Dueben

Found 8 papers, 5 papers with code

WeatherBench 2: A benchmark for the next generation of data-driven global weather models

1 code implementation29 Aug 2023 Stephan Rasp, Stephan Hoyer, Alexander Merose, Ian Langmore, Peter Battaglia, Tyler Russel, Alvaro Sanchez-Gonzalez, Vivian Yang, Rob Carver, Shreya Agrawal, Matthew Chantry, Zied Ben Bouallegue, Peter Dueben, Carla Bromberg, Jared Sisk, Luke Barrington, Aaron Bell, Fei Sha

WeatherBench 2 is an update to the global, medium-range (1-14 day) weather forecasting benchmark proposed by Rasp et al. (2020), designed with the aim to accelerate progress in data-driven weather modeling.

Weather Forecasting

ENS-10: A Dataset For Post-Processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts

1 code implementation29 Jun 2022 Saleh Ashkboos, Langwen Huang, Nikoli Dryden, Tal Ben-Nun, Peter Dueben, Lukas Gianinazzi, Luca Kummer, Torsten Hoefler

We propose the ENS-10 prediction correction task for improving the forecast quality at a 48-hour lead time through ensemble post-processing.

Weather Forecasting

Probabilistic Forecasting with Generative Networks via Scoring Rule Minimization

1 code implementation15 Dec 2021 Lorenzo Pacchiardi, Rilwan Adewoyin, Peter Dueben, Ritabrata Dutta

Adversarial-free minimization is possible for some scoring rules; hence, our framework avoids the cumbersome hyperparameter tuning and uncertainty underestimation due to unstable adversarial training, thus unlocking reliable use of generative networks in probabilistic forecasting.

Uncertainty Quantification Weather Forecasting

High-resolution Probabilistic Precipitation Prediction for use in Climate Simulations

no code implementations17 Dec 2020 Sherman Lo, Peter Watson, Peter Dueben, Ritabrata Dutta

Here, we develop a method to make probabilistic precipitation predictions based on features that climate models can resolve well and that is not highly sensitive to the approximations used in individual models.

Computation Applications

TRU-NET: A Deep Learning Approach to High Resolution Prediction of Rainfall

1 code implementation20 Aug 2020 Rilwan Adewoyin, Peter Dueben, Peter Watson, Yulan He, Ritabrata Dutta

Experiments show that our model consistently attains lower RMSE and MAE scores than a DL model prevalent in short term precipitation prediction and improves upon the rainfall predictions of a state-of-the-art dynamical weather model.

Deep Learning for Post-Processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts

1 code implementation18 May 2020 Peter Grönquist, Chengyuan Yao, Tal Ben-Nun, Nikoli Dryden, Peter Dueben, Shigang Li, Torsten Hoefler

Applied to global data, our mixed models achieve a relative improvement in ensemble forecast skill (CRPS) of over 14%.

Weather Forecasting

Predicting Weather Uncertainty with Deep Convnets

no code implementations2 Nov 2019 Peter Grönquist, Tal Ben-Nun, Nikoli Dryden, Peter Dueben, Luca Lavarini, Shigang Li, Torsten Hoefler

Modern weather forecast models perform uncertainty quantification using ensemble prediction systems, which collect nonparametric statistics based on multiple perturbed simulations.

Uncertainty Quantification Weather Forecasting

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