Search Results for author: Rafal A. Angryk

Found 17 papers, 7 papers with code

FFAD: A Novel Metric for Assessing Generated Time Series Data Utilizing Fourier Transform and Auto-encoder

no code implementations11 Mar 2024 Yang Chen, Dustin J. Kempton, Rafal A. Angryk

While the Fr\'{e}chet Inception Distance (FID) serves as the standard metric for evaluating generative models in image synthesis, a comparable metric for time series data is notably absent.

Image Generation Time Series

Unveiling the Potential of Deep Learning Models for Solar Flare Prediction in Near-Limb Regions

no code implementations25 Sep 2023 Chetraj Pandey, Rafal A. Angryk, Berkay Aydin

We trained three well-known deep learning architectures--AlexNet, VGG16, and ResNet34 using transfer learning and compared and evaluated the overall performance of our models using true skill statistics (TSS) and Heidke skill score (HSS) and computed recall scores to understand the prediction sensitivity in central and near-limb regions for both X- and M-class flares.

Solar Flare Prediction Transfer Learning

Towards Interpretable Solar Flare Prediction with Attention-based Deep Neural Networks

1 code implementation8 Sep 2023 Chetraj Pandey, Anli Ji, Rafal A. Angryk, Berkay Aydin

In this work, we developed an attention-based deep learning model as an improvement over the standard convolutional neural network (CNN) pipeline to perform full-disk binary flare predictions for the occurrence of $\geq$M1. 0-class flares within the next 24 hours.

Solar Flare Prediction Weather Forecasting

Exploring Deep Learning for Full-disk Solar Flare Prediction with Empirical Insights from Guided Grad-CAM Explanations

1 code implementation30 Aug 2023 Chetraj Pandey, Anli Ji, Trisha Nandakumar, Rafal A. Angryk, Berkay Aydin

This study progresses solar flare prediction research by presenting a full-disk deep-learning model to forecast $\geq$M-class solar flares and evaluating its efficacy on both central (within $\pm$70$^\circ$) and near-limb (beyond $\pm$70$^\circ$) events, showcasing qualitative assessment of post hoc explanations for the model's predictions, and providing empirical findings from human-centered quantitative assessments of these explanations.

Solar Flare Prediction

Explaining Full-disk Deep Learning Model for Solar Flare Prediction using Attribution Methods

1 code implementation29 Jul 2023 Chetraj Pandey, Rafal A. Angryk, Berkay Aydin

This paper contributes to the growing body of research on deep learning methods for solar flare prediction, primarily focusing on highly overlooked near-limb flares and utilizing the attribution methods to provide a post hoc qualitative explanation of the model's predictions.

Data Augmentation Solar Flare Prediction

Towards Coupling Full-disk and Active Region-based Flare Prediction for Operational Space Weather Forecasting

1 code implementation11 Aug 2022 Chetraj Pandey, Anli Ji, Rafal A. Angryk, Manolis K. Georgoulis, Berkay Aydin

We utilized an equal weighted average ensemble of two base learners' flare probabilities as our baseline meta learner and improved the capabilities of our two base learners by training a logistic regression model.

regression Solar Flare Prediction +2

Measuring Class-Imbalance Sensitivity of Deterministic Performance Evaluation Metrics

no code implementations20 Jun 2022 Azim Ahmadzadeh, Rafal A. Angryk

In this paper, we introduce an intuitive evaluation framework that quantifies metrics' sensitivity to the class imbalance.

Improving Solar Flare Prediction by Time Series Outlier Detection

no code implementations14 Jun 2022 Junzhi Wen, Md Reazul Islam, Azim Ahmadzadeh, Rafal A. Angryk

While a number of machine-learning methods have been proposed to improve flare prediction, none of them, to the best of our knowledge, have investigated the impact of outliers on the reliability and those models' performance.

Outlier Detection Solar Flare Prediction +2

Feature Selection on a Flare Forecasting Testbed: A Comparative Study of 24 Methods

1 code implementation30 Sep 2021 Atharv Yeoleka, Sagar Patel, Shreejaa Talla, Krishna Rukmini Puthucode, Azim Ahmadzadeh, Viacheslav M. Sadykov, Rafal A. Angryk

We incorporated 24 Feature Subset Selection (FSS) algorithms, including multivariate and univariate, supervised and unsupervised, wrappers and filters.

feature selection Time Series +1

Towards Synthetic Multivariate Time Series Generation for Flare Forecasting

no code implementations16 May 2021 Yang Chen, Dustin J. Kempton, Azim Ahmadzadeh, Rafal A. Angryk

We utilize a flare forecasting benchmark dataset, named SWAN-SF, and design two verification methods to both quantitatively and qualitatively evaluate the similarity between the generated minority and the ground-truth samples.

Generative Adversarial Network Synthetic Data Generation +3

How to Train Your Flare Prediction Model: Revisiting Robust Sampling of Rare Events

no code implementations12 Mar 2021 Azim Ahmadzadeh, Berkay Aydin, Manolis K. Georgoulis, Dustin J. Kempton, Sushant S. Mahajan, Rafal A. Angryk

We present a case study of solar flare forecasting by means of metadata feature time series, by treating it as a prominent class-imbalance and temporally coherent problem.

Time Series Time Series Forecasting

Challenges with Extreme Class-Imbalance and Temporal Coherence: A Study on Solar Flare Data

no code implementations20 Nov 2019 Azim Ahmadzadeh, Maxwell Hostetter, Berkay Aydin, Manolis K. Georgoulis, Dustin J. Kempton, Sushant S. Mahajan, Rafal A. Angryk

This is in particular prevalent in interdisciplinary research where the theoretical aspects are sometimes overshadowed by the challenges of the application.

Time Series Time Series Analysis

Toward Filament Segmentation Using Deep Neural Networks

no code implementations20 Nov 2019 Azim Ahmadzadeh, Sushant S. Mahajan, Dustin J. Kempton, Rafal A. Angryk, Shihao Ji

Despite the known challenges in the identification and characterization of filaments by the existing module, which in turn are inherited into any other module that intends to learn from such outputs, Mask R-CNN shows promising results.

A Curated Image Parameter Dataset from Solar Dynamics Observatory Mission

no code implementations3 Jun 2019 Azim Ahmadzadeh, Dustin J. Kempton, Rafal A. Angryk

We provide a large image parameter dataset extracted from the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) mission's AIA instrument, for the period of January 2011 through the current date, with the cadence of six minutes, for nine wavelength channels.

Content-Based Image Retrieval Dimensionality Reduction +2

Evaluating Preprocessing Strategies for Time Series Prediction Using Deep Learning Architectures

no code implementations Proceedings of the Thirtieth International Florida Artificial Intelligence Research Society Conference 520 2017 Sajitha Naduvil-Vadukootu, Rafal A. Angryk, Pete Riley

We propose a novel approach to combine state-of-the-art time series data processing methods, such as symbolic aggregate approximation (SAX), with very recently developed deep neural network architectures, such as deep recurrent neural networks (DRNN), for time series data modeling and prediction.

Time Series Time Series Prediction

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