no code implementations • 21 Aug 2021 • Umar Marikkar, Harshana Weligampola, Rumali Perera, Jameel Hassan, Suren Sritharan, Gihan Jayatilaka, Roshan Godaliyadda, Vijitha Herath, Parakrama Ekanayake, Janaka Ekanayake, Anuruddhika Rathnayake, Samath Dharmaratne
In this study, a forecasting solution is proposed, to predict daily new cases of COVID-19 in regions small enough where containment measures could be locally implemented, by targeting three main shortcomings that exist in literature; the unreliability of existing data caused by inconsistent testing patterns in smaller regions, weak deploy-ability of forecasting models towards predicting cases in previously unseen regions, and model training biases caused by the imbalanced nature of data in COVID-19 epi-curves.