Search Results for author: Shihao Yang

Found 14 papers, 3 papers with code

CATS: Enhancing Multivariate Time Series Forecasting by Constructing Auxiliary Time Series as Exogenous Variables

no code implementations4 Mar 2024 Jiecheng Lu, Xu Han, Yan Sun, Shihao Yang

For Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF), recent deep learning applications show that univariate models frequently outperform multivariate ones.

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Time Series

ARM: Refining Multivariate Forecasting with Adaptive Temporal-Contextual Learning

no code implementations14 Oct 2023 Jiecheng Lu, Xu Han, Shihao Yang

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is important for various domains but is confronted by challenges in handling the complex temporal-contextual relationships.

Time Series Time Series Forecasting

Deep Attention Q-Network for Personalized Treatment Recommendation

1 code implementation4 Jul 2023 Simin Ma, Junghwan Lee, Nicoleta Serban, Shihao Yang

Tailoring treatment for individual patients is crucial yet challenging in order to achieve optimal healthcare outcomes.

Deep Attention reinforcement-learning

Parameter Inference based on Gaussian Processes Informed by Nonlinear Partial Differential Equations

1 code implementation22 Dec 2022 Zhaohui Li, Shihao Yang, Jeff Wu

Many methods for PDE parameter inference involve a large number of evaluations for numerical solutions to PDE through algorithms such as the finite element method, which can be time-consuming, especially for nonlinear PDEs.

Gaussian Processes Uncertainty Quantification

Estimating and Assessing Differential Equation Models with Time-Course Data

no code implementations20 Dec 2022 Samuel W. K. Wong, Shihao Yang, S. C. Kou

Overall, we believe MAGI is a useful method for the analysis of time-course data in the context of ODE models, which bypasses the need for any numerical integration.

Numerical Integration Uncertainty Quantification

COVID-19 Hospitalizations Forecasts Using Internet Search Data

no code implementations3 Feb 2022 Tao Wang, Simin Ma, Soobin Baek, Shihao Yang

As the COVID-19 spread over the globe and new variants of COVID-19 keep occurring, reliable real-time forecasts of COVID-19 hospitalizations are critical for public health decision on medical resources allocations such as ICU beds, ventilators, and personnel to prepare for the surge of COVID-19 pandemics.

Decision Making Time Series +1

Order Book Queue Hawkes-Markovian Modeling

no code implementations20 Jul 2021 Philip Protter, Qianfan Wu, Shihao Yang

To capture the stimulating effects between multiple types of order book events, we use the multivariate Hawkes process to model the self- and mutually-exciting event arrivals.

Model Selection Variable Selection

Early Detection of COVID-19 Hotspots Using Spatio-Temporal Data

no code implementations31 May 2021 Shixiang Zhu, Alexander Bukharin, Liyan Xie, Khurram Yamin, Shihao Yang, Pinar Keskinocak, Yao Xie

Recently, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has worked with other federal agencies to identify counties with increasing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) incidence (hotspots) and offers support to local health departments to limit the spread of the disease.

MAGI-X: Manifold-Constrained Gaussian Process Inference for Unknown System Dynamics

no code implementations27 May 2021 Chaofan Huang, Simin Ma, Shihao Yang

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs), commonly used to characterize the dynamic systems, are difficult to propose in closed-form for many complicated scientific applications, even with the help of domain expert.

Numerical Integration

COUnty aggRegation mixup AuGmEntation (COURAGE) COVID-19 Prediction

no code implementations3 May 2021 Siawpeng Er, Shihao Yang, Tuo Zhao

The global spread of COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, has cast a significant threat to mankind.

Computational Efficiency Time Series +1

Inference of dynamic systems from noisy and sparse data via manifold-constrained Gaussian processes

1 code implementation16 Sep 2020 Shihao Yang, Samuel W. K. Wong, S. C. Kou

MAGI uses a Gaussian process model over time-series data, explicitly conditioned on the manifold constraint that derivatives of the Gaussian process must satisfy the ODE system.

Methodology Dynamical Systems

Use Internet Search Data to Accurately Track State-Level Influenza Epidemics

no code implementations4 Jun 2020 Shihao Yang, Shaoyang Ning, S. C. Kou

ARGOX combines Internet search data at the national, regional and state levels with traditional influenza surveillance data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and accounts for both the spatial correlation structure of state-level influenza activities and the evolution of people's Internet search pattern.

Applications

Accurate estimation of influenza epidemics using Google search data via ARGO

no code implementations5 May 2015 Shihao Yang, Mauricio Santillana, S. C. Kou

Accurate real-time tracking of influenza outbreaks helps public health officials make timely and meaningful decisions that could save lives.

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