Search Results for author: Stefano Spinelli

Found 4 papers, 0 papers with code

Probabilistic electric load forecasting through Bayesian Mixture Density Networks

no code implementations23 Dec 2020 Alessandro Brusaferri, Matteo Matteucci, Stefano Spinelli, Andrea Vitali

Probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) is a key component in the extended tool-chain required for efficient management of smart energy grids.

Load Forecasting Management +1

Estimation of Switched Markov Polynomial NARX models

no code implementations29 Sep 2020 Alessandro Brusaferri, Matteo Matteucci, Stefano Spinelli

This work targets the identification of a class of models for hybrid dynamical systems characterized by nonlinear autoregressive exogenous (NARX) components, with finite-dimensional polynomial expansions, and by a Markovian switching mechanism.

regression

Identification of Probability weighted ARX models with arbitrary domains

no code implementations29 Sep 2020 Alessandro Brusaferri, Matteo Matteucci, Stefano Spinelli

Hybrid system identification is a key tool to achieve reliable models of Cyber-Physical Systems from data.

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