Search Results for author: Tucker Balch

Found 39 papers, 3 papers with code

Six Levels of Privacy: A Framework for Financial Synthetic Data

no code implementations20 Mar 2024 Tucker Balch, Vamsi K. Potluru, Deepak Paramanand, Manuela Veloso

In addition to the benefits it provides, such as improved financial modeling and better testing procedures, it poses privacy risks as well.

Synthetic Data Generation

LLM-driven Imitation of Subrational Behavior : Illusion or Reality?

no code implementations13 Feb 2024 Andrea Coletta, Kshama Dwarakanath, Penghang Liu, Svitlana Vyetrenko, Tucker Balch

We make an assumption that LLMs can be used as implicit computational models of humans, and propose a framework to use synthetic demonstrations derived from LLMs to model subrational behaviors that are characteristic of humans (e. g., myopic behavior or preference for risk aversion).

Imitation Learning

Fair Coresets via Optimal Transport

no code implementations9 Nov 2023 Zikai Xiong, Niccolò Dalmasso, Shubham Sharma, Freddy Lecue, Daniele Magazzeni, Vamsi K. Potluru, Tucker Balch, Manuela Veloso

In this work, we present fair Wasserstein coresets (FWC), a novel coreset approach which generates fair synthetic representative samples along with sample-level weights to be used in downstream learning tasks.

Clustering Decision Making +1

FairWASP: Fast and Optimal Fair Wasserstein Pre-processing

no code implementations31 Oct 2023 Zikai Xiong, Niccolò Dalmasso, Alan Mishler, Vamsi K. Potluru, Tucker Balch, Manuela Veloso

FairWASP can therefore be used to construct datasets which can be fed into any classification method, not just methods which accept sample weights.

Fairness

INTAGS: Interactive Agent-Guided Simulation

no code implementations4 Sep 2023 Song Wei, Andrea Coletta, Svitlana Vyetrenko, Tucker Balch

To adapt to any environment with interactive sequential decision making agents, INTAGS formulates the simulator as a stochastic policy in reinforcement learning.

Algorithmic Trading Causal Inference +3

Differentially Private Synthetic Data Using KD-Trees

no code implementations19 Jun 2023 Eleonora Kreačić, Navid Nouri, Vamsi K. Potluru, Tucker Balch, Manuela Veloso

Creation of a synthetic dataset that faithfully represents the data distribution and simultaneously preserves privacy is a major research challenge.

Synthetic Data Generation

Financial Time Series Forecasting using CNN and Transformer

no code implementations11 Apr 2023 Zhen Zeng, Rachneet Kaur, Suchetha Siddagangappa, Saba Rahimi, Tucker Balch, Manuela Veloso

In our experiments, we demonstrated the success of the proposed method in comparison to commonly adopted statistical and deep learning methods on forecasting intraday stock price change of S&P 500 constituents.

Decision Making Time Series +1

K-SHAP: Policy Clustering Algorithm for Anonymous Multi-Agent State-Action Pairs

no code implementations23 Feb 2023 Andrea Coletta, Svitlana Vyetrenko, Tucker Balch

Finally, by clustering the explanations we show that we are able to identify different agent policies and group observations accordingly.

Clustering Imitation Learning

Fast Learning of Multidimensional Hawkes Processes via Frank-Wolfe

no code implementations12 Dec 2022 Renbo Zhao, Niccolò Dalmasso, Mohsen Ghassemi, Vamsi K. Potluru, Tucker Balch, Manuela Veloso

Hawkes processes have recently risen to the forefront of tools when it comes to modeling and generating sequential events data.

Epidemiology

Limited or Biased: Modeling Sub-Rational Human Investors in Financial Markets

no code implementations16 Oct 2022 Penghang Liu, Kshama Dwarakanath, Svitlana S Vyetrenko, Tucker Balch

We evaluate the behavior of sub-rational human investors using hand-crafted market scenarios and SHAP value analysis, showing that our model accurately reproduces the observations in the previous studies and reveals insights of the driving factors of human behavior.

Decision Making

Equitable Marketplace Mechanism Design

no code implementations22 Sep 2022 Kshama Dwarakanath, Svitlana S Vyetrenko, Tucker Balch

The goal of this work is to design a dynamic fee schedule for the marketplace that is equitable and profitable to all traders while being profitable to the marketplace at the same time (from charging fees).

Optimal Stopping with Gaussian Processes

no code implementations22 Sep 2022 Kshama Dwarakanath, Danial Dervovic, Peyman Tavallali, Svitlana S Vyetrenko, Tucker Balch

We propose a novel group of Gaussian Process based algorithms for fast approximate optimal stopping of time series with specific applications to financial markets.

Gaussian Processes Time Series +1

Online Learning for Mixture of Multivariate Hawkes Processes

no code implementations16 Aug 2022 Mohsen Ghassemi, Niccolò Dalmasso, Simran Lamba, Vamsi K. Potluru, Sameena Shah, Tucker Balch, Manuela Veloso

Online learning of Hawkes processes has received increasing attention in the last couple of years especially for modeling a network of actors.

Differentially Private Learning of Hawkes Processes

no code implementations27 Jul 2022 Mohsen Ghassemi, Eleonora Kreačić, Niccolò Dalmasso, Vamsi K. Potluru, Tucker Balch, Manuela Veloso

Hawkes processes have recently gained increasing attention from the machine learning community for their versatility in modeling event sequence data.

CTMSTOU driven markets: simulated environment for regime-awareness in trading policies

no code implementations2 Feb 2022 Selim Amrouni, Aymeric Moulin, Tucker Balch

Market regimes is a popular topic in quantitative finance even though there is little consensus on the details of how they should be defined.

Efficient Calibration of Multi-Agent Simulation Models from Output Series with Bayesian Optimization

no code implementations3 Dec 2021 Yuanlu Bai, Henry Lam, Svitlana Vyetrenko, Tucker Balch

Multi-agent simulation is commonly used across multiple disciplines, specifically in artificial intelligence in recent years, which creates an environment for downstream machine learning or reinforcement learning tasks.

Bayesian Optimization Time Series Analysis

Learning to Classify and Imitate Trading Agents in Continuous Double Auction Markets

no code implementations4 Oct 2021 Mahmoud Mahfouz, Tucker Balch, Manuela Veloso, Danilo Mandic

Continuous double auctions such as the limit order book employed by exchanges are widely used in practice to match buyers and sellers of a variety of financial instruments.

Behavioural cloning

Learning who is in the market from time series: market participant discovery through adversarial calibration of multi-agent simulators

no code implementations2 Aug 2021 Victor Storchan, Svitlana Vyetrenko, Tucker Balch

In electronic trading markets often only the price or volume time series, that result from interaction of multiple market participants, are directly observable.

Time Series Time Series Analysis

Calibrating Over-Parametrized Simulation Models: A Framework via Eligibility Set

no code implementations27 May 2021 Yuanlu Bai, Tucker Balch, Haoxian Chen, Danial Dervovic, Henry Lam, Svitlana Vyetrenko

Stochastic simulation aims to compute output performance for complex models that lack analytical tractability.

Deep Video Prediction for Time Series Forecasting

no code implementations24 Feb 2021 Zhen Zeng, Tucker Balch, Manuela Veloso

In this paper, we propose to approach economic time series forecasting of multiple financial assets in a novel way via video prediction.

Decision Making Time Series +2

SIM-GAN: Adversarial Calibration of Multi-Agent Market Simulators.

no code implementations1 Jan 2021 Victor Storchan, Svitlana Vyetrenko, Tucker Balch

In this paper, we present SIM-GAN -- a multi-agent simulator calibration method that allows to tune simulator parameters and to support more accurate evaluations of candidate trading algorithm.

Visual Time Series Forecasting: An Image-driven Approach

no code implementations18 Nov 2020 Srijan Sood, Zhen Zeng, Naftali Cohen, Tucker Balch, Manuela Veloso

In this work, we leverage advances in deep learning to extend the field of time series forecasting to a visual setting.

Quantization Time Series +1

SURF: Improving classifiers in production by learning from busy and noisy end users

no code implementations12 Oct 2020 Joshua Lockhart, Samuel Assefa, Ayham Alajdad, Andrew Alexander, Tucker Balch, Manuela Veloso

We show that conventional crowdsourcing algorithms struggle in this user feedback setting, and present a new algorithm, SURF, that can cope with this non-response ambiguity.

Some people aren't worth listening to: periodically retraining classifiers with feedback from a team of end users

no code implementations27 Apr 2020 Joshua Lockhart, Samuel Assefa, Tucker Balch, Manuela Veloso

Document classification is ubiquitous in a business setting, but often the end users of a classifier are engaged in an ongoing feedback-retrain loop with the team that maintain it.

Document Classification

On the Importance of Opponent Modeling in Auction Markets

no code implementations28 Nov 2019 Mahmoud Mahfouz, Angelos Filos, Cyrine Chtourou, Joshua Lockhart, Samuel Assefa, Manuela Veloso, Danilo Mandic, Tucker Balch

The dynamics of financial markets are driven by the interactions between participants, as well as the trading mechanisms and regulatory frameworks that govern these interactions.

Multiplayer AlphaZero

1 code implementation29 Oct 2019 Nick Petosa, Tucker Balch

The AlphaZero algorithm has achieved superhuman performance in two-player, deterministic, zero-sum games where perfect information of the game state is available.

Trading via Image Classification

2 code implementations23 Jul 2019 Naftali Cohen, Tucker Balch, Manuela Veloso

The art of systematic financial trading evolved with an array of approaches, ranging from simple strategies to complex algorithms all relying, primary, on aspects of time-series analysis.

Classification General Classification +4

The Effect of Visual Design in Image Classification

no code implementations22 Jul 2019 Naftali Cohen, Tucker Balch, Manuela Veloso

In this study, we examine whether binary decisions are better to be decided based on the numeric or the visual representation of the same data.

Classification Feature Engineering +2

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