Search Results for author: Ward Manchester

Found 2 papers, 2 papers with code

Interpreting LSTM Prediction on Solar Flare Eruption with Time-series Clustering

1 code implementation27 Dec 2019 Hu Sun, Ward Manchester, Zhenbang Jiao, Xiantong Wang, Yang Chen

The dynamics of these parameters have a highly uniform trajectory for many events whose LSTM prediction scores for M/X class flares transition from very low to very high.

Binary Classification Clustering +3

Solar Flare Intensity Prediction with Machine Learning Models

1 code implementation12 Dec 2019 Zhenbang Jiao, Hu Sun, Xiantong Wang, Ward Manchester, Tamas Gombosi, Alfred Hero, Yang Chen

We develop a mixed Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) regression model to predict the maximum solar flare intensity within a 24-hour time window 0$\sim$24, 6$\sim$30, 12$\sim$36 and 24$\sim$48 hours ahead of time using 6, 12, 24 and 48 hours of data (predictors) for each Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) Active Region Patch (HARP).

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics

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