Balancing New Against Old Information: The Role of Surprise in Learning
Surprise describes a range of phenomena from unexpected events to behavioral responses. We propose a measure of surprise and use it for surprise-driven learning. Our surprise measure takes into account data likelihood as well as the degree of commitment to a belief via the entropy of the belief distribution. We find that surprise-minimizing learning dynamically adjusts the balance between new and old information without the need of knowledge about the temporal statistics of the environment. We apply our framework to a dynamic decision-making task and a maze exploration task. Our surprise minimizing framework is suitable for learning in complex environments, even if the environment undergoes gradual or sudden changes and could eventually provide a framework to study the behavior of humans and animals encountering surprising events.
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