Inferring COVID-19 spreading rates and potential change points for case number forecasts

2 Apr 2020Jonas DehningJohannes ZierenbergF. Paul SpitznerMichael WibralJoao Pinheiro NetoMichael WilczekViola Priesemann

As COVID-19 is rapidly spreading across the globe, short-term modeling forecasts provide time-critical information for decisions on containment and mitigation strategies. A main challenge for short-term forecasts is the assessment of key epidemiological parameters and how they change as first governmental intervention measures are showing an effect... (read more)

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