no code implementations • 8 Sep 2023 • Kevin Höhlein, Benedikt Schulz, Rüdiger Westermann, Sebastian Lerch
Statistical postprocessing is used to translate ensembles of raw numerical weather forecasts into reliable probabilistic forecast distributions.
2 code implementations • 5 Apr 2022 • Benedikt Schulz, Lutz Köhler, Sebastian Lerch
Using theoretical arguments and a comprehensive analysis on twelve benchmark data sets, we systematically compare probability- and quantile-based aggregation methods for three neural network-based approaches with different forecast distribution types as output.
2 code implementations • 17 Jun 2021 • Benedikt Schulz, Sebastian Lerch
Postprocessing ensemble weather predictions to correct systematic errors has become a standard practice in research and operations.