no code implementations • 19 Feb 2025 • Lewis Hammond, Alan Chan, Jesse Clifton, Jason Hoelscher-Obermaier, Akbir Khan, Euan McLean, Chandler Smith, Wolfram Barfuss, Jakob Foerster, Tomáš Gavenčiak, The Anh Han, Edward Hughes, Vojtěch Kovařík, Jan Kulveit, Joel Z. Leibo, Caspar Oesterheld, Christian Schroeder de Witt, Nisarg Shah, Michael Wellman, Paolo Bova, Theodor Cimpeanu, Carson Ezell, Quentin Feuillade-Montixi, Matija Franklin, Esben Kran, Igor Krawczuk, Max Lamparth, Niklas Lauffer, Alexander Meinke, Sumeet Motwani, Anka Reuel, Vincent Conitzer, Michael Dennis, Iason Gabriel, Adam Gleave, Gillian Hadfield, Nika Haghtalab, Atoosa Kasirzadeh, Sébastien Krier, Kate Larson, Joel Lehman, David C. Parkes, Georgios Piliouras, Iyad Rahwan
The rapid development of advanced AI agents and the imminent deployment of many instances of these agents will give rise to multi-agent systems of unprecedented complexity.
no code implementations • 15 Jan 2025 • Emanuel Tewolde, Brian Hu Zhang, Caspar Oesterheld, Tuomas Sandholm, Vincent Conitzer
Strategic interactions can be represented more concisely, and analyzed and solved more efficiently, if we are aware of the symmetries within the multiagent system.
no code implementations • 23 Dec 2024 • Scott Emmons, Caspar Oesterheld, Vincent Conitzer, Stuart Russell
We show that this incentive for interference goes away if the human is playing optimally, or if we introduce a communication channel for the human to communicate their preferences to the assistant.
no code implementations • 19 Dec 2024 • Emery Cooper, Caspar Oesterheld, Vincent Conitzer
Finally, we explore the limits of simulation-based program equilibrium, showing that the Tennenholtz folk theorem cannot be attained by simulation-based programs without access to shared randomness.
1 code implementation • 15 Nov 2024 • Caspar Oesterheld, Emery Cooper, Miles Kodama, Linh Chi Nguyen, Ethan Perez
We introduce a dataset of natural-language questions in the decision theory of so-called Newcomb-like problems.
no code implementations • 7 Nov 2024 • Emery Cooper, Caspar Oesterheld, Vincent Conitzer
If so, then causal decision theory might recommend one-boxing in order to cause the predictor to fill the opaque box.
no code implementations • 23 Jun 2024 • Emanuel Tewolde, Brian Hu Zhang, Caspar Oesterheld, Manolis Zampetakis, Tuomas Sandholm, Paul W. Goldberg, Vincent Conitzer
We investigate optimal decision making under imperfect recall, that is, when an agent forgets information it once held before.
no code implementations • 12 Feb 2024 • Vojtech Kovarik, Caspar Oesterheld, Vincent Conitzer
In this paper, we study an interaction between AI agents where the agents run a recursive joint simulation.
no code implementations • 11 Jul 2023 • Caspar Oesterheld, Abram Demski, Vincent Conitzer
In this paper, we develop a theory of rational decision making that does not assume logical omniscience.
1 code implementation • 28 May 2023 • Caspar Oesterheld, Johannes Treutlein, Emery Cooper, Rubi Hudson
We show that, for binary predictions, if the influence of the expert's prediction on outcomes is bounded, it is possible to define scoring rules under which optimal reports are arbitrarily close to fixed points.
no code implementations • 28 May 2023 • Emanuel Tewolde, Caspar Oesterheld, Vincent Conitzer, Paul W. Goldberg
For such games, two natural equilibrium concepts have been proposed as alternative solution concepts to ex-ante optimality.
1 code implementation • 7 Jul 2022 • Scott Emmons, Caspar Oesterheld, Andrew Critch, Vincent Conitzer, Stuart Russell
In this work, we show that any locally optimal symmetric strategy profile is also a (global) Nash equilibrium.
no code implementations • NeurIPS 2021 • James Bell, Linda Linsefors, Caspar Oesterheld, Joar Skalse
This gives us a powerful tool for reasoning about the limit behaviour of agents -- for example, it lets us show that there are Newcomblike environments in which a reinforcement learning agent cannot converge to any optimal policy.
1 code implementation • 11 Jun 2021 • Johannes Treutlein, Michael Dennis, Caspar Oesterheld, Jakob Foerster
We introduce an extension of the algorithm, other-play with tie-breaking, and prove that it is optimal in the LFC problem and an equilibrium in the LFC game.
no code implementations • 21 Apr 2015 • Caspar Oesterheld
Most ethical work is done at a low level of formality.