no code implementations • 21 Nov 2024 • Nora Schneider, Lars Lorch, Niki Kilbertus, Bernhard Schölkopf, Andreas Krause
We consider the problem of predicting perturbation effects via causal models.
no code implementations • 17 Jun 2024 • Weronika Ormaniec, Scott Sussex, Lars Lorch, Bernhard Schölkopf, Andreas Krause
Moreover, contrary to the post-hoc standardization of data generated by standard SCMs, we prove that linear iSCMs are less identifiable from prior knowledge on the weights and do not collapse to deterministic relationships in large systems, which may make iSCMs a useful model in causal inference beyond the benchmarking problem studied here.
1 code implementation • 26 Oct 2023 • Lars Lorch, Andreas Krause, Bernhard Schölkopf
We develop a novel approach towards causal inference.
1 code implementation • 4 Jun 2022 • Christian Toth, Lars Lorch, Christian Knoll, Andreas Krause, Franz Pernkopf, Robert Peharz, Julius von Kügelgen
In this work, we propose Active Bayesian Causal Inference (ABCI), a fully-Bayesian active learning framework for integrated causal discovery and reasoning, which jointly infers a posterior over causal models and queries of interest.
1 code implementation • 3 Jun 2022 • Alexander Hägele, Jonas Rothfuss, Lars Lorch, Vignesh Ram Somnath, Bernhard Schölkopf, Andreas Krause
Inferring causal structures from experimentation is a central task in many domains.
1 code implementation • 25 May 2022 • Lars Lorch, Scott Sussex, Jonas Rothfuss, Andreas Krause, Bernhard Schölkopf
Rather than searching over structures, we train a variational inference model to directly predict the causal structure from observational or interventional data.
1 code implementation • 30 Jun 2021 • Stratis Tsirtsis, Abir De, Lars Lorch, Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez
Testing is recommended for all close contacts of confirmed COVID-19 patients.
2 code implementations • NeurIPS 2021 • Lars Lorch, Jonas Rothfuss, Bernhard Schölkopf, Andreas Krause
In this work, we propose a general, fully differentiable framework for Bayesian structure learning (DiBS) that operates in the continuous space of a latent probabilistic graph representation.
1 code implementation • NeurIPS 2020 • Wanqian Yang, Lars Lorch, Moritz A. Graule, Himabindu Lakkaraju, Finale Doshi-Velez
Domains where supervised models are deployed often come with task-specific constraints, such as prior expert knowledge on the ground-truth function, or desiderata like safety and fairness.
2 code implementations • 15 Apr 2020 • Lars Lorch, Heiner Kremer, William Trouleau, Stratis Tsirtsis, Aron Szanto, Bernhard Schölkopf, Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez
Multiple lines of evidence strongly suggest that infection hotspots, where a single individual infects many others, play a key role in the transmission dynamics of COVID-19.
1 code implementation • 15 May 2019 • Wanqian Yang, Lars Lorch, Moritz A. Graule, Srivatsan Srinivasan, Anirudh Suresh, Jiayu Yao, Melanie F. Pradier, Finale Doshi-Velez
Bayesian neural network (BNN) priors are defined in parameter space, making it hard to encode prior knowledge expressed in function space.
no code implementations • 30 Oct 2018 • Lars Lorch, Abir De, Samir Bhatt, William Trouleau, Utkarsh Upadhyay, Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez
We approach the development of models and control strategies of susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic processes from the perspective of marked temporal point processes and stochastic optimal control of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with jumps.