no code implementations • 30 Nov 2024 • Nick James, Max Menzies
We apply this to study the market capitalization exposure and spread of optimal portfolios chosen by a Sharpe optimization procedure.
no code implementations • 22 Mar 2024 • Nick James, Max Menzies
This paper develops new mathematical techniques to identify temporal shifts among a collection of US equities partitioned into a new and more detailed set of market sectors.
no code implementations • 11 Nov 2023 • Nick James, Max Menzies
We introduce new mathematical methods to study the optimal portfolio size of investment portfolios over time, considering investors with varying skill levels.
no code implementations • 28 Jul 2023 • Nick James, Max Menzies
In this paper we contrast the dynamics of the 2022 Ukraine invasion financial crisis with notable financial crises of the 21st century - the dot-com bubble, global financial crisis and COVID-19.
no code implementations • 18 Apr 2023 • Nick James, Max Menzies
Our focus is on collective dynamics and portfolio diversification in the cryptocurrency market, and examining whether previously established results in the equity market hold in the cryptocurrency market, and to what extent.
no code implementations • 29 Mar 2022 • Nick James, Max Menzies, Kevin Chin
Motivated by the current fears of a potentially stagflationary global economic environment, this paper uses new and recently introduced mathematical techniques to study multivariate time series pertaining to country inflation (CPI), economic growth (GDP) and equity index behaviours.
no code implementations • 22 Feb 2022 • Nick James, Max Menzies, Georg A. Gottwald
Using the degree of collectivity as a proxy for the benefit of diversification, we perform an extensive sampling of equity portfolios to confirm the old financial adage that 30-40 stocks provide sufficient diversification.
no code implementations • 31 Dec 2021 • Nick James
This paper uses new and recently established methodologies to study the evolutionary dynamics of the cryptocurrency market, and compares the findings with that of the equity market.
no code implementations • 22 Nov 2021 • Nick James, Kevin Chin
This paper uses new and recently introduced mathematical techniques to undertake a data-driven study on the systemic nature of global inflation.
no code implementations • 29 Jul 2021 • Nick James, Max Menzies
We then explore the time-varying consistency of the relationships between cryptocurrencies' size and their returns and volatility.
no code implementations • 10 Jun 2021 • Nick James, Max Menzies
This paper introduces a new framework to quantify distance between finite sets with uncertainty present, where probability distributions determine the locations of individual elements.
no code implementations • 2 Feb 2021 • Nick James, Max Menzies
This paper introduces new methods to study the changing dynamics of COVID-19 cases and deaths among the 50 worst-affected countries throughout 2020.
Physics and Society Populations and Evolution
no code implementations • 3 Jan 2021 • Nick James
This paper uses new and recently introduced methodologies to study the similarity in the dynamics and behaviours of cryptocurrencies and equities surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic.
no code implementations • 24 Dec 2020 • Nick James, Max Menzies, Peter Radchenko
Finally, our paper identifies similarities in the trajectories of cases and deaths for European countries and U. S. states.
Time Series Analysis Physics and Society Populations and Evolution
no code implementations • 21 Apr 2020 • Arjun Prakash, Nick James, Max Menzies, Gilad Francis
We develop a new method to find the number of volatility regimes in a nonstationary financial time series by applying unsupervised learning to its volatility structure.
no code implementations • 4 Mar 2020 • Nick James, Max Menzies
This article improves on existing methods to estimate the spectral density of stationary and nonstationary time series assuming a Gaussian process prior.
no code implementations • 7 Feb 2020 • Nick James, Max Menzies
This paper introduces a new framework of algebraic equivalence relations between time series and new distance metrics between them, then applies these to investigate the Australian ``Black Summer'' bushfire season of 2019-2020.
no code implementations • 26 Jan 2020 • Nick James, Max Menzies, Jennifer Chan
This paper proposes a new method for financial portfolio optimization based on reducing simultaneous asset shocks across a collection of assets.
no code implementations • 12 Dec 2019 • Nick James, Max Menzies, Jennifer Chan
First, we analyse the structure of the market as a whole and observe a reduction in self-similarity as a result of COVID-19, particularly with respect to structural breaks in variance.
no code implementations • 4 Nov 2019 • Nick James, Max Menzies, Lamiae Azizi, Jennifer Chan
This paper proposes a new method for determining similarity and anomalies between time series, most practically effective in large collections of (likely related) time series, by measuring distances between structural breaks within such a collection.
no code implementations • 9 Feb 2019 • Nick James, Roman Marchant, Richard Gerlach, Sally Cripps
Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series.