no code implementations • 6 Mar 2025 • Ege Erdil, Andrei Potlogea, Tamay Besiroglu, Edu Roldan, Anson Ho, Jaime Sevilla, Matthew Barnett, Matej Vrzla, Robert Sandler
We present the Growth and AI Transition Endogenous model (GATE), a dynamic integrated assessment model that simulates the economic effects of AI automation.
no code implementations • 29 Jan 2025 • Yoshua Bengio, Sören Mindermann, Daniel Privitera, Tamay Besiroglu, Rishi Bommasani, Stephen Casper, Yejin Choi, Philip Fox, Ben Garfinkel, Danielle Goldfarb, Hoda Heidari, Anson Ho, Sayash Kapoor, Leila Khalatbari, Shayne Longpre, Sam Manning, Vasilios Mavroudis, Mantas Mazeika, Julian Michael, Jessica Newman, Kwan Yee Ng, Chinasa T. Okolo, Deborah Raji, Girish Sastry, Elizabeth Seger, Theodora Skeadas, Tobin South, Emma Strubell, Florian Tramèr, Lucia Velasco, Nicole Wheeler, Daron Acemoglu, Olubayo Adekanmbi, David Dalrymple, Thomas G. Dietterich, Edward W. Felten, Pascale Fung, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Fredrik Heintz, Geoffrey Hinton, Nick Jennings, Andreas Krause, Susan Leavy, Percy Liang, Teresa Ludermir, Vidushi Marda, Helen Margetts, John McDermid, Jane Munga, Arvind Narayanan, Alondra Nelson, Clara Neppel, Alice Oh, Gopal Ramchurn, Stuart Russell, Marietje Schaake, Bernhard Schölkopf, Dawn Song, Alvaro Soto, Lee Tiedrich, Gaël Varoquaux, Andrew Yao, Ya-Qin Zhang, Fahad Albalawi, Marwan Alserkal, Olubunmi Ajala, Guillaume Avrin, Christian Busch, André Carlos Ponce de Leon Ferreira de Carvalho, Bronwyn Fox, Amandeep Singh Gill, Ahmet Halit Hatip, Juha Heikkilä, Gill Jolly, Ziv Katzir, Hiroaki Kitano, Antonio Krüger, Chris Johnson, Saif M. Khan, Kyoung Mu Lee, Dominic Vincent Ligot, Oleksii Molchanovskyi, Andrea Monti, Nusu Mwamanzi, Mona Nemer, Nuria Oliver, José Ramón López Portillo, Balaraman Ravindran, Raquel Pezoa Rivera, Hammam Riza, Crystal Rugege, Ciarán Seoighe, Jerry Sheehan, Haroon Sheikh, Denise Wong, Yi Zeng
The first International AI Safety Report comprehensively synthesizes the current evidence on the capabilities, risks, and safety of advanced AI systems.
no code implementations • 7 Nov 2024 • Elliot Glazer, Ege Erdil, Tamay Besiroglu, Diego Chicharro, Evan Chen, Alex Gunning, Caroline Falkman Olsson, Jean-Stanislas Denain, Anson Ho, Emily de Oliveira Santos, Olli Järviniemi, Matthew Barnett, Robert Sandler, Matej Vrzala, Jaime Sevilla, Qiuyu Ren, Elizabeth Pratt, Lionel Levine, Grant Barkley, Natalie Stewart, Bogdan Grechuk, Tetiana Grechuk, Shreepranav Varma Enugandla, Mark Wildon
We introduce FrontierMath, a benchmark of hundreds of original, exceptionally challenging mathematics problems crafted and vetted by expert mathematicians.
Ranked #2 on
Mathematical Reasoning
on FrontierMath
no code implementations • 5 Nov 2024 • Yoshua Bengio, Sören Mindermann, Daniel Privitera, Tamay Besiroglu, Rishi Bommasani, Stephen Casper, Yejin Choi, Danielle Goldfarb, Hoda Heidari, Leila Khalatbari, Shayne Longpre, Vasilios Mavroudis, Mantas Mazeika, Kwan Yee Ng, Chinasa T. Okolo, Deborah Raji, Theodora Skeadas, Florian Tramèr, Bayo Adekanmbi, Paul Christiano, David Dalrymple, Thomas G. Dietterich, Edward Felten, Pascale Fung, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Nick Jennings, Andreas Krause, Percy Liang, Teresa Ludermir, Vidushi Marda, Helen Margetts, John A. McDermid, Arvind Narayanan, Alondra Nelson, Alice Oh, Gopal Ramchurn, Stuart Russell, Marietje Schaake, Dawn Song, Alvaro Soto, Lee Tiedrich, Gaël Varoquaux, Andrew Yao, Ya-Qin Zhang
This is the interim publication of the first International Scientific Report on the Safety of Advanced AI.
1 code implementation • 17 May 2024 • Ege Erdil, Tamay Besiroglu, Anson Ho
Accurately modeling the production of new ideas is crucial for innovation theory and endogenous growth models.
1 code implementation • 23 Apr 2024 • Thomas McAndrew, Maimuna S. Majumder, Andrew A. Lover, Srini Venkatramanan, Paolo Bocchini, Tamay Besiroglu, Allison Codi, Gaia Dempsey, Sam Abbott, Sylvain Chevalier, Nikos I. Bosse, Juan Cambeiro, David Braun
In May 2022, mpox (formerly monkeypox) spread to non-endemic countries rapidly.
1 code implementation • 15 Apr 2024 • Tamay Besiroglu, Ege Erdil, Matthew Barnett, Josh You
Hoffmann et al. (2022) propose three methods for estimating a compute-optimal scaling law.
1 code implementation • 9 Mar 2024 • Anson Ho, Tamay Besiroglu, Ege Erdil, David Owen, Robi Rahman, Zifan Carl Guo, David Atkinson, Neil Thompson, Jaime Sevilla
We investigate the rate at which algorithms for pre-training language models have improved since the advent of deep learning.
no code implementations • 4 Jan 2024 • Tamay Besiroglu, Sage Andrus Bergerson, Amelia Michael, Lennart Heim, Xueyun Luo, Neil Thompson
We provide a data-driven survey of the role of the compute divide in shaping machine learning research.
1 code implementation • 24 Nov 2023 • Ben Cottier, Tamay Besiroglu, David Owen
The data reveals a diverse ecosystem of companies steering AI progress, though US labs such as Google, OpenAI and Meta lead across critical metrics.
no code implementations • 20 Sep 2023 • Ege Erdil, Tamay Besiroglu
Key questions remain about the intensity of regulatory responses to AI, physical bottlenecks in production, the economic value of superhuman abilities, and the rate at which AI automation could occur.
no code implementations • 15 Dec 2022 • Tamay Besiroglu, Nicholas Emery-Xu, Neil Thompson
Since its emergence around 2010, deep learning has rapidly become the most important technique in Artificial Intelligence (AI), producing an array of scientific firsts in areas as diverse as protein folding, drug discovery, integrated chip design, and weather prediction.
no code implementations • 10 Dec 2022 • Ege Erdil, Tamay Besiroglu
Using Shapley values to attribute performance improvements, we find that algorithmic improvements have been roughly as important as the scaling of compute for progress computer vision.
1 code implementation • 26 Oct 2022 • Pablo Villalobos, Anson Ho, Jaime Sevilla, Tamay Besiroglu, Lennart Heim, Marius Hobbhahn
We investigate the potential constraints on LLM scaling posed by the availability of public human-generated text data.
no code implementations • 5 Jul 2022 • Pablo Villalobos, Jaime Sevilla, Tamay Besiroglu, Lennart Heim, Anson Ho, Marius Hobbhahn
From 1950 to 2018, model size in language models increased steadily by seven orders of magnitude.
1 code implementation • 11 Feb 2022 • Jaime Sevilla, Lennart Heim, Anson Ho, Tamay Besiroglu, Marius Hobbhahn, Pablo Villalobos
Since the advent of Deep Learning in the early 2010s, the scaling of training compute has accelerated, doubling approximately every 6 months.
no code implementations • 15 Apr 2020 • Miles Brundage, Shahar Avin, Jasmine Wang, Haydn Belfield, Gretchen Krueger, Gillian Hadfield, Heidy Khlaaf, Jingying Yang, Helen Toner, Ruth Fong, Tegan Maharaj, Pang Wei Koh, Sara Hooker, Jade Leung, Andrew Trask, Emma Bluemke, Jonathan Lebensbold, Cullen O'Keefe, Mark Koren, Théo Ryffel, JB Rubinovitz, Tamay Besiroglu, Federica Carugati, Jack Clark, Peter Eckersley, Sarah de Haas, Maritza Johnson, Ben Laurie, Alex Ingerman, Igor Krawczuk, Amanda Askell, Rosario Cammarota, Andrew Lohn, David Krueger, Charlotte Stix, Peter Henderson, Logan Graham, Carina Prunkl, Bianca Martin, Elizabeth Seger, Noa Zilberman, Seán Ó hÉigeartaigh, Frens Kroeger, Girish Sastry, Rebecca Kagan, Adrian Weller, Brian Tse, Elizabeth Barnes, Allan Dafoe, Paul Scharre, Ariel Herbert-Voss, Martijn Rasser, Shagun Sodhani, Carrick Flynn, Thomas Krendl Gilbert, Lisa Dyer, Saif Khan, Yoshua Bengio, Markus Anderljung
With the recent wave of progress in artificial intelligence (AI) has come a growing awareness of the large-scale impacts of AI systems, and recognition that existing regulations and norms in industry and academia are insufficient to ensure responsible AI development.
Computers and Society