Search Results for author: Tamay Besiroglu

Found 17 papers, 7 papers with code

GATE: An Integrated Assessment Model for AI Automation

no code implementations6 Mar 2025 Ege Erdil, Andrei Potlogea, Tamay Besiroglu, Edu Roldan, Anson Ho, Jaime Sevilla, Matthew Barnett, Matej Vrzla, Robert Sandler

We present the Growth and AI Transition Endogenous model (GATE), a dynamic integrated assessment model that simulates the economic effects of AI automation.

model

International AI Safety Report

no code implementations29 Jan 2025 Yoshua Bengio, Sören Mindermann, Daniel Privitera, Tamay Besiroglu, Rishi Bommasani, Stephen Casper, Yejin Choi, Philip Fox, Ben Garfinkel, Danielle Goldfarb, Hoda Heidari, Anson Ho, Sayash Kapoor, Leila Khalatbari, Shayne Longpre, Sam Manning, Vasilios Mavroudis, Mantas Mazeika, Julian Michael, Jessica Newman, Kwan Yee Ng, Chinasa T. Okolo, Deborah Raji, Girish Sastry, Elizabeth Seger, Theodora Skeadas, Tobin South, Emma Strubell, Florian Tramèr, Lucia Velasco, Nicole Wheeler, Daron Acemoglu, Olubayo Adekanmbi, David Dalrymple, Thomas G. Dietterich, Edward W. Felten, Pascale Fung, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Fredrik Heintz, Geoffrey Hinton, Nick Jennings, Andreas Krause, Susan Leavy, Percy Liang, Teresa Ludermir, Vidushi Marda, Helen Margetts, John McDermid, Jane Munga, Arvind Narayanan, Alondra Nelson, Clara Neppel, Alice Oh, Gopal Ramchurn, Stuart Russell, Marietje Schaake, Bernhard Schölkopf, Dawn Song, Alvaro Soto, Lee Tiedrich, Gaël Varoquaux, Andrew Yao, Ya-Qin Zhang, Fahad Albalawi, Marwan Alserkal, Olubunmi Ajala, Guillaume Avrin, Christian Busch, André Carlos Ponce de Leon Ferreira de Carvalho, Bronwyn Fox, Amandeep Singh Gill, Ahmet Halit Hatip, Juha Heikkilä, Gill Jolly, Ziv Katzir, Hiroaki Kitano, Antonio Krüger, Chris Johnson, Saif M. Khan, Kyoung Mu Lee, Dominic Vincent Ligot, Oleksii Molchanovskyi, Andrea Monti, Nusu Mwamanzi, Mona Nemer, Nuria Oliver, José Ramón López Portillo, Balaraman Ravindran, Raquel Pezoa Rivera, Hammam Riza, Crystal Rugege, Ciarán Seoighe, Jerry Sheehan, Haroon Sheikh, Denise Wong, Yi Zeng

The first International AI Safety Report comprehensively synthesizes the current evidence on the capabilities, risks, and safety of advanced AI systems.

Estimating Idea Production: A Methodological Survey

1 code implementation17 May 2024 Ege Erdil, Tamay Besiroglu, Anson Ho

Accurately modeling the production of new ideas is crucial for innovation theory and endogenous growth models.

Bayesian Inference Survey

Chinchilla Scaling: A replication attempt

1 code implementation15 Apr 2024 Tamay Besiroglu, Ege Erdil, Matthew Barnett, Josh You

Hoffmann et al. (2022) propose three methods for estimating a compute-optimal scaling law.

Algorithmic progress in language models

1 code implementation9 Mar 2024 Anson Ho, Tamay Besiroglu, Ege Erdil, David Owen, Robi Rahman, Zifan Carl Guo, David Atkinson, Neil Thompson, Jaime Sevilla

We investigate the rate at which algorithms for pre-training language models have improved since the advent of deep learning.

Language Modeling Language Modelling

Who is leading in AI? An analysis of industry AI research

1 code implementation24 Nov 2023 Ben Cottier, Tamay Besiroglu, David Owen

The data reveals a diverse ecosystem of companies steering AI progress, though US labs such as Google, OpenAI and Meta lead across critical metrics.

Explosive growth from AI automation: A review of the arguments

no code implementations20 Sep 2023 Ege Erdil, Tamay Besiroglu

Key questions remain about the intensity of regulatory responses to AI, physical bottlenecks in production, the economic value of superhuman abilities, and the rate at which AI automation could occur.

Economic impacts of AI-augmented R&D

no code implementations15 Dec 2022 Tamay Besiroglu, Nicholas Emery-Xu, Neil Thompson

Since its emergence around 2010, deep learning has rapidly become the most important technique in Artificial Intelligence (AI), producing an array of scientific firsts in areas as diverse as protein folding, drug discovery, integrated chip design, and weather prediction.

Deep Learning Drug Discovery +1

Algorithmic progress in computer vision

no code implementations10 Dec 2022 Ege Erdil, Tamay Besiroglu

Using Shapley values to attribute performance improvements, we find that algorithmic improvements have been roughly as important as the scaling of compute for progress computer vision.

Attribute Image Classification

Compute Trends Across Three Eras of Machine Learning

1 code implementation11 Feb 2022 Jaime Sevilla, Lennart Heim, Anson Ho, Tamay Besiroglu, Marius Hobbhahn, Pablo Villalobos

Since the advent of Deep Learning in the early 2010s, the scaling of training compute has accelerated, doubling approximately every 6 months.

BIG-bench Machine Learning Deep Learning

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