Search Results for author: Thomas McAndrew

Found 2 papers, 1 papers with code

Adaptively stacking ensembles for influenza forecasting with incomplete data

no code implementations26 Jul 2019 Thomas McAndrew, Nicholas G. Reich

We propose an adaptive ensemble forecast that (i) changes model weights week-by-week throughout the influenza season, (ii) only needs the current influenza season's data to make predictions, and (iii) by introducing a prior distribution, shrinks weights toward the reference equal weighting approach and adjusts for observed ILI percentages that are subject to future revisions.

Cannot find the paper you are looking for? You can Submit a new open access paper.