Search Results for author: Tom R. Andersson

Found 7 papers, 5 papers with code

Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals

no code implementations12 Jun 2025 Ferran Alet, Ilan Price, Andrew El-Kadi, Dominic Masters, Stratis Markou, Tom R. Andersson, Jacklynn Stott, Remi Lam, Matthew Willson, Alvaro Sanchez-Gonzalez, Peter Battaglia

Machine learning (ML)-based weather models have rapidly risen to prominence due to their greater accuracy and speed than traditional forecasts based on numerical weather prediction (NWP), recently outperforming traditional ensembles in global probabilistic weather forecasting.

Weather Forecasting

Aardvark weather: end-to-end data-driven weather forecasting

no code implementations30 Mar 2024 Anna Vaughan, Stratis Markou, Will Tebbutt, James Requeima, Wessel P. Bruinsma, Tom R. Andersson, Michael Herzog, Nicholas D. Lane, Matthew Chantry, J. Scott Hosking, Richard E. Turner

Local station forecasts are skillful up to ten days lead time and achieve comparable and often lower errors than a post-processed global NWP baseline and a state-of-the-art end-to-end forecasting system with input from human forecasters.

Weather Forecasting

GenCast: Diffusion-based ensemble forecasting for medium-range weather

3 code implementations25 Dec 2023 Ilan Price, Alvaro Sanchez-Gonzalez, Ferran Alet, Tom R. Andersson, Andrew El-Kadi, Dominic Masters, Timo Ewalds, Jacklynn Stott, Shakir Mohamed, Peter Battaglia, Remi Lam, Matthew Willson

Weather forecasts are fundamentally uncertain, so predicting the range of probable weather scenarios is crucial for important decisions, from warning the public about hazardous weather, to planning renewable energy use.

Decision Making Weather Forecasting

Sim2Real for Environmental Neural Processes

1 code implementation30 Oct 2023 Jonas Scholz, Tom R. Andersson, Anna Vaughan, James Requeima, Richard E. Turner

On held-out weather stations, Sim2Real training substantially outperforms the same model architecture trained only with reanalysis data or only with station data, showing that reanalysis data can serve as a stepping stone for learning from real observations.

Autoregressive Conditional Neural Processes

1 code implementation25 Mar 2023 Wessel P. Bruinsma, Stratis Markou, James Requiema, Andrew Y. K. Foong, Tom R. Andersson, Anna Vaughan, Anthony Buonomo, J. Scott Hosking, Richard E. Turner

Our work provides an example of how ideas from neural distribution estimation can benefit neural processes, and motivates research into the AR deployment of other neural process models.

Meta-Learning

Cannot find the paper you are looking for? You can Submit a new open access paper.