no code implementations • 21 Jan 2022 • Jason A. Platt, Stephen G. Penny, Timothy A. Smith, Tse-Chun Chen, Henry D. I. Abarbanel
While we are not aware of a generally accepted best reported mean forecast time for different models in the literature, we report over a factor of 2 increase in the mean forecast time compared to the best performing RC model of Vlachas et. al (2020) for the 40 dimensional spatiotemporally chaotic Lorenz 1996 dynamics, and we are able to accomplish this using a smaller reservoir size.
no code implementations • 13 Jan 2022 • Tse-Chun Chen, Stephen G. Penny, Timothy A. Smith, Jason A. Platt
Next generation reservoir computing based on nonlinear vector autoregression (NVAR) is applied to emulate simple dynamical system models and compared to numerical integration schemes such as Euler and the $2^\text{nd}$ order Runge-Kutta.
no code implementations • 25 Sep 2021 • Stephen G. Penny, Timothy A. Smith, Tse-Chun Chen, Jason A. Platt, Hsin-Yi Lin, Michael Goodliff, Henry D. I. Abarbanel
The results indicate that these techniques can be applied to estimate the state of a system for the repeated initialization of short-term forecasts, even in the absence of a traditional numerical forecast model.