Search Results for author: Will Tebbutt

Found 9 papers, 8 papers with code

Aardvark weather: end-to-end data-driven weather forecasting

no code implementations30 Mar 2024 Anna Vaughan, Stratis Markou, Will Tebbutt, James Requeima, Wessel P. Bruinsma, Tom R. Andersson, Michael Herzog, Nicholas D. Lane, Matthew Chantry, J. Scott Hosking, Richard E. Turner

Local station forecasts are skillful up to ten days lead time and achieve comparable and often lower errors than a post-processed global NWP baseline and a state-of-the-art end-to-end forecasting system with input from human forecasters.

Weather Forecasting

Combining Pseudo-Point and State Space Approximations for Sum-Separable Gaussian Processes

1 code implementation pproximateinference AABI Symposium 2021 Will Tebbutt, Arno Solin, Richard E. Turner

Pseudo-point approximations, one of the gold-standard methods for scaling GPs to large data sets, are well suited for handling off-the-grid spatial data.

Epidemiology Gaussian Processes +2

Convolutional conditional neural processes for local climate downscaling

1 code implementation20 Jan 2021 Anna Vaughan, Will Tebbutt, J. Scott Hosking, Richard E. Turner

A new model is presented for multisite statistical downscaling of temperature and precipitation using convolutional conditional neural processes (convCNPs).

Gaussian Processes

Scalable Exact Inference in Multi-Output Gaussian Processes

3 code implementations ICML 2020 Wessel P. Bruinsma, Eric Perim, Will Tebbutt, J. Scott Hosking, Arno Solin, Richard E. Turner

Multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGPs) leverage the flexibility and interpretability of GPs while capturing structure across outputs, which is desirable, for example, in spatio-temporal modelling.

Gaussian Processes

AdvancedHMC.jl: A robust, modular and efficient implementation of advanced HMC algorithms

1 code implementation pproximateinference AABI Symposium 2019 Kai Xu, Hong Ge, Will Tebbutt, Mohamed Tarek, Martin Trapp, Zoubin Ghahramani

Stan's Hamilton Monte Carlo (HMC) has demonstrated remarkable sampling robustness and efficiency in a wide range of Bayesian inference problems through carefully crafted adaption schemes to the celebrated No-U-Turn sampler (NUTS) algorithm.

Bayesian Inference Benchmarking

A Differentiable Programming System to Bridge Machine Learning and Scientific Computing

2 code implementations17 Jul 2019 Mike Innes, Alan Edelman, Keno Fischer, Chris Rackauckas, Elliot Saba, Viral B. Shah, Will Tebbutt

Scientific computing is increasingly incorporating the advancements in machine learning and the ability to work with large amounts of data.

BIG-bench Machine Learning

The Gaussian Process Autoregressive Regression Model (GPAR)

3 code implementations20 Feb 2018 James Requeima, Will Tebbutt, Wessel Bruinsma, Richard E. Turner

Multi-output regression models must exploit dependencies between outputs to maximise predictive performance.

Gaussian Processes model +1

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