Search Results for author: Peter D. Grunwald

Found 5 papers, 1 papers with code

Updating Probabilities

no code implementations27 Jul 2014 Peter D. Grunwald, Joseph Y. Halpern

A criterion known as CAR (coarsening at random) in the statistical literature characterizes when ``naive' conditioning in a naive space works.

When Ignorance is Bliss

no code implementations27 Jul 2014 Peter D. Grunwald, Joseph Y. Halpern

It is commonly-accepted wisdom that more information is better, and that information should never be ignored.

A Game-Theoretic Analysis of Updating Sets of Probabilities

no code implementations27 Jul 2014 Peter D. Grunwald, Joseph Y. Halpern

We consider how an agent should update her uncertainty when it is represented by a set P of probability distributions and the agent observes that a random variable X takes on value x, given that the agent makes decisions using the minimax criterion, perhaps the best-studied and most commonly-used criterion in the literature.

Making Decisions Using Sets of Probabilities: Updating, Time Consistency, and Calibration

no code implementations16 Jan 2014 Peter D. Grunwald, Joseph Y. Halpern

We consider how an agent should update her beliefs when her beliefs are represented by a set P of probability distributions, given that the agent makes decisions using the minimax criterion, perhaps the best-studied and most commonly-used criterion in the literature.

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