CPLLM: Clinical Prediction with Large Language Models

We present Clinical Prediction with Large Language Models (CPLLM), a method that involves fine-tuning a pre-trained Large Language Model (LLM) for clinical disease prediction. We utilized quantization and fine-tuned the LLM using prompts, with the task of predicting whether patients will be diagnosed with a target disease during their next visit or in the subsequent diagnosis, leveraging their historical diagnosis records. We compared our results versus various baselines, including Logistic Regression, RETAIN, and Med-BERT, which is the current state-of-the-art model for disease prediction using structured EHR data. Our experiments have shown that CPLLM surpasses all the tested models in terms of both PR-AUC and ROC-AUC metrics, displaying noteworthy enhancements compared to the baseline models.