``i have a feeling trump will win..................'': Forecasting Winners and Losers from User Predictions on Twitter

EMNLP 2017 S SwamyeshAlan RitterMarie-Catherine de Marneffe

Social media users often make explicit predictions about upcoming events. Such statements vary in the degree of certainty the author expresses toward the outcome: {``}Leonardo DiCaprio will win Best Actor{''} vs. {``}Leonardo DiCaprio may win{''} or {``}No way Leonardo wins!{''}... (read more)

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