Improving Model Understanding and Trust with Counterfactual Explanations of Model Confidence

6 Jun 2022  ·  Thao Le, Tim Miller, Ronal Singh, Liz Sonenberg ·

In this paper, we show that counterfactual explanations of confidence scores help users better understand and better trust an AI model's prediction in human-subject studies. Showing confidence scores in human-agent interaction systems can help build trust between humans and AI systems. However, most existing research only used the confidence score as a form of communication, and we still lack ways to explain why the algorithm is confident. This paper also presents two methods for understanding model confidence using counterfactual explanation: (1) based on counterfactual examples; and (2) based on visualisation of the counterfactual space.

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