Plots of the cumulative differences between observed and expected values of ordered Bernoulli variates

3 Jun 2020Mark Tygert

Many predictions are probabilistic in nature; for example, a prediction could be for precipitation tomorrow, but with only a 30 percent chance. Given both the predictions and the actual outcomes, "reliability diagrams" (also known as "calibration plots") help detect and diagnose statistically significant discrepancies between the predictions and the outcomes... (read more)

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