Probabilistic Forecasting using Deep Generative Models

26 Sep 2019Alessandro FanfarilloBehrooz RoozitalabWeiming HuGuido Cervone

The Analog Ensemble (AnEn) method tries to estimate the probability distribution of the future state of the atmosphere with a set of past observations that correspond to the best analogs of a deterministic Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP). This model post-processing method has been successfully used to improve the forecast accuracy for several weather-related applications including air quality, and short-term wind and solar power forecasting, to name a few... (read more)

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