A data-driven analysis on the mediation effect of compartment models between control measures and COVID-19 epidemics

no code implementations • 31 May 2023 • Dongyan Zhang, Wuyue Yang, Wanqi Wen, Liangrong Peng, Changjingn Zhuge, Liu Hong

We make a retrospective review on various control measures taken by 127 countries/territories during the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic until July 7, 2020, and evaluate their impacts on the epidemic dynamics quantitatively.

regression

Rational evaluation of various epidemic models based on the COVID-19 data of China

no code implementations • 12 Mar 2020 • Wuyue Yang, Dongyan Zhang, Liangrong Peng, Changjing Zhuge, Liu Hong

In this paper, based on the Akaike information criterion, root mean square error and robustness coefficient, a rational evaluation of various epidemic models/methods, including seven empirical functions, four statistical inference methods and five dynamical models, on their forecasting abilities is carried out.

Epidemic analysis of COVID-19 in China by dynamical modeling

4 code implementations • 16 Feb 2020 • Liangrong Peng, Wuyue Yang, Dongyan Zhang, Changjing Zhuge, Liu Hong

The outbreak of novel coronavirus-caused pneumonia (COVID-19) in Wuhan has attracted worldwide attention.

Populations and Evolution