no code implementations • 26 Dec 2023 • Jean-Yves Pitarakis
We introduce a novel approach for comparing out-of-sample multi-step forecasts obtained from a pair of nested models that is based on the forecast encompassing principle.
no code implementations • 6 Feb 2023 • Jesus Gonzalo, Jean-Yves Pitarakis
This paper is concerned with detecting the presence of out of sample predictability in linear predictive regressions with a potentially large set of candidate predictors.
no code implementations • 19 Aug 2020 • Jean-Yves Pitarakis
We introduce a new approach for comparing the predictive accuracy of two nested models that bypasses the difficulties caused by the degeneracy of the asymptotic variance of forecast error loss differentials used in the construction of commonly used predictive comparison statistics.