Search Results for author: Marc-Oliver Pohle

Found 2 papers, 2 papers with code

Testing Quantile Forecast Optimality

1 code implementation6 Feb 2023 Jack Fosten, Daniel Gutknecht, Marc-Oliver Pohle

Quantile forecasts made across multiple horizons have become an important output of many financial institutions, central banks and international organisations.

Score-based calibration testing for multivariate forecast distributions

1 code implementation29 Nov 2022 Malte Knüppel, Fabian Krüger, Marc-Oliver Pohle

Calibration tests based on the probability integral transform (PIT) are routinely used to assess the quality of univariate distributional forecasts.

Time Series Time Series Analysis

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