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Forecasted Treatment Effects
We consider estimation and inference of the effects of a policy in the absence of a control group.
A Robust Method for Microforecasting and Estimation of Random Effects
We propose a method for forecasting individual outcomes and estimating random effects in linear panel data models and value-added models when the panel has a short time dimension.
Identification and Inference Under Narrative Restrictions
We consider structural vector autoregressions subject to 'narrative restrictions', which are inequality restrictions on functions of the structural shocks in specific periods.
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