no code implementations • 22 Oct 2023 • Ross Gruetzemacher, Alan Chan, Kevin Frazier, Christy Manning, Štěpán Los, James Fox, José Hernández-Orallo, John Burden, Matija Franklin, Clíodhna Ní Ghuidhir, Mark Bailey, Daniel Eth, Toby Pilditch, Kyle Kilian
Given rapid progress toward advanced AI and risks from frontier AI systems (advanced AI systems pushing the boundaries of the AI capabilities frontier), the creation and implementation of AI governance and regulatory schemes deserves prioritization and substantial investment.
no code implementations • 18 Oct 2021 • Ross Gruetzemacher, David Paradice
Recent progress in natural language processing involving transformer language models (TLMs) offers a potential avenue for AI-driven business and societal transformation that is beyond the scope of what most currently foresee.
no code implementations • 4 Aug 2020 • Ross Gruetzemacher, Florian Dorner, Niko Bernaola-Alvarez, Charlie Giattino, David Manheim
This paper describes the development of a research agenda for forecasting AI progress which utilized the Delphi technique to elicit and aggregate experts' opinions on what questions and methods to prioritize.
no code implementations • 19 Dec 2019 • Shahar Avin, Ross Gruetzemacher, James Fox
We present an innovative methodology for studying and teaching the impacts of AI through a role play game.
no code implementations • 27 Nov 2019 • Ross Gruetzemacher, Jess Whittlestone
We suggest that the term 'transformative AI' is a helpful alternative, reflecting the possibility that advanced AI systems could have very large impacts on society without reaching human-level cognitive abilities.
no code implementations • 2 May 2019 • Ross Gruetzemacher, David Paradice
To address these limitations we propose the use of alternative techniques for an updated systematic mapping of the paths to HLAI.
no code implementations • 24 Jan 2019 • Ross Gruetzemacher, David Paradice, Kang Bok Lee
Respondents indicated a median of 21. 5% of human tasks (i. e., all tasks that humans are currently paid to do) can be feasibly automated now, and that this figure would rise to 40% in 5 years and 60% in 10 years.