Shut and re-open: the role of schools in the spread of COVID-19 in Europe

no code implementations • 25 Jun 2020 • Helena B. Stage, Joseph Shingleton, Sanmitra Ghosh, Francesca Scarabel, Lorenzo Pellis, Thomas Finnie

By comparing the growth rates in daily hospitalisations or confirmed cases under different interventions, we provide evidence that the effect of school closure is visible as a reduction in the growth rate approximately 9 days after implementation.

Considering discrepancy when calibrating a mechanistic electrophysiology model

1 code implementation • 13 Jan 2020 • Chon Lok Lei, Sanmitra Ghosh, Dominic G. Whittaker, Yasser Aboelkassem, Kylie A. Beattie, Chris D. Cantwell, Tammo Delhaas, Charles Houston, Gustavo Montes Novaes, Alexander V. Panfilov, Pras Pathmanathan, Marina Riabiz, Rodrigo Weber dos Santos, John Walmsley, Keith Worden, Gary R. Mirams, Richard D. Wilkinson

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a vital step in using mathematical models and simulations to take decisions.

Gaussian Processes Uncertainty Quantification

Fast Approximate Bayesian Computation for Estimating Parameters in Differential Equations

no code implementations • 17 Jul 2015 • Sanmitra Ghosh, Srinandan Dasmahapatra, Koushik Maharatna

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) using a sequential Monte Carlo method provides a comprehensive platform for parameter estimation, model selection and sensitivity analysis in differential equations.

Gaussian Processes Model Selection +1