no code implementations • 3 May 2022 • Taras Bodnar, Vilhelm Niklasson, Erik Thorsén
In this paper, a new way to integrate volatility information for estimating value at risk (VaR) and conditional value at risk (CVaR) of a portfolio is suggested.
no code implementations • 14 Feb 2022 • Taras Bodnar, Nestor Parolya, Erik Thorsén
In this paper we construct a shrinkage estimator of the global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio by a combination of two techniques: Tikhonov regularization and direct shrinkage of portfolio weights.
no code implementations • 24 Nov 2021 • Taras Bodnar, Nestor Parolya, Erik Thorsén
The main contribution of this paper is the derivation of the asymptotic behaviour of the out-of-sample variance, the out-of-sample relative loss, and of their empirical counterparts in the high-dimensional setting, i. e., when both ratios $p/n$ and $p/m$ tend to some positive constants as $m\to\infty$ and $n\to\infty$, where $p$ is the portfolio dimension, while $n$ and $m$ are the sample sizes from the in-sample and out-of-sample periods, respectively.
1 code implementation • 3 Jun 2021 • Taras Bodnar, Nestor Parolya, Erik Thorsen
In this paper, new results in random matrix theory are derived which allow us to construct a shrinkage estimator of the global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio when the shrinkage target is a random object.
no code implementations • 3 Dec 2020 • Taras Bodnar, Mathias Lindholm, Vilhelm Niklasson, Erik Thorsén
By using simulation and real market data, we compare the new Bayesian approach to the conventional method by studying the performance and existence of the global minimum VaR portfolio and by analysing the estimated efficient frontiers.
no code implementations • 10 May 2020 • Taras Bodnar, Solomiia Dmytriv, Yarema Okhrin, Nestor Parolya, Wolfgang Schmid
In this paper, using the shrinkage-based approach for portfolio weights and modern results from random matrix theory we construct an effective procedure for testing the efficiency of the expected utility (EU) portfolio and discuss the asymptotic behavior of the proposed test statistic under the high-dimensional asymptotic regime, namely when the number of assets $p$ increases at the same rate as the sample size $n$ such that their ratio $p/n$ approaches a positive constant $c\in(0, 1)$ as $n\to\infty$.
no code implementations • 12 Aug 2019 • Taras Bodnar, Holger Dette, Nestor Parolya, Erik Thorsén
In this paper, we characterise the exact sampling distribution of the estimated optimal portfolio weights and their characteristics.
no code implementations • 9 Mar 2018 • David Bauder, Taras Bodnar, Nestor Parolya, Wolfgang Schmid
The parameters of the posterior predictive distributions are functions of the observed data values and, consequently, the solution of the optimization problem is expressed in terms of data only and does not depend on unknown quantities.
Statistical Finance Portfolio Management
no code implementations • 7 Nov 2016 • Taras Bodnar, Yarema Okhrin, Nestor Parolya
In this paper we estimate the mean-variance portfolio in the high-dimensional case using the recent results from the theory of random matrices.