1 code implementation • 31 May 2022 • Daniel Dylewsky, Timothy M. Lenton, Marten Scheffer, Thomas M. Bury, Christopher G. Fletcher, Madhur Anand, Chris T. Bauch
The potential for complex systems to exhibit tipping points in which an equilibrium state undergoes a sudden and often irreversible shift is well established, but prediction of these events using standard forecast modeling techniques is quite difficult.
no code implementations • 17 Aug 2021 • Stephen Keen, Timothy M. Lenton, Antoine Godin, Devrim Yilmaz, Matheus Grasselli, Timothy J. Garrett
Given these flaws, economists' empirical estimates of economic damages from global warming should be rejected as unscientific, and models that have been calibrated to them, such as DICE, should not be used to evaluate economic risks from climate change, or in the development of policy to attenuate damages.
no code implementations • 20 Jan 2021 • Anna S. von der Heydt, Peter Ashwin, Charles D. Camp, Michel Crucifix, Henk A. Dijkstra, Peter Ditlevsen, Timothy M. Lenton
Hence in this paper, we address the question: Can we (after 40 years) update the Mitchell (1976) diagram and provide it with a better interpretation?
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics