no code implementations • 7 Sep 2022 • Bo-Sheng Chen, Zong-Ying Wu, Yen-Jia Chen, Jann-Long Chern
The forecast by our stochastic model predicts the probability distributions of the final size and the maximum size to see how large the epidemic will be in the long run.
no code implementations • 5 Nov 2020 • Bo-Cyuan Lin, Yen-Jia Chen, Yi-Cheng Hung, Chun-Sheng Chen, Han-Chun Wang, Jann-Long Chern
In this paper, we firstly propose SQIARD and SIARD models to investigate the transmission of COVID-19 with quarantine, infected and asymptomatic infected, and discuss the relation between the respective basic reproduction number $R_0, R_Q$ and the stability of the equilibrium points of model.
