A model-based assessment of social isolation practices for COVID-19 outbreak response in residential care facilities

We apply a computational modelling approach to investigate the relative effectiveness of general isolation practices for mitigation of COVID-19 outbreaks in residential care facilities. Our study focuses on policies intended to reduce contact between residents, without regard to confirmed infection status. Despite the ubiquity of such policies, and their controversial association with adverse physical and mental health outcomes, little evidence exists evaluating their effectiveness at mitigating outbreaks. Through detailed simulations of COVID-19 outbreaks in residential care facilities, our results demonstrate that general isolation of residents provides little additional impact beyond what is achievable through isolation of confirmed cases and deployment of personal protective equipment.

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