Search Results for author: Luca Rossini

Found 8 papers, 1 papers with code

What drives the European carbon market? Macroeconomic factors and forecasts

no code implementations7 Feb 2024 Andrea Bastianin, Elisabetta Mirto, Yan Qin, Luca Rossini

We rely on emissions and price forecasts to build market monitoring tools that track demand and price pressure in the EU ETS market.

Money Growth and Inflation: A Quantile Sensitivity Approach

no code implementations10 Aug 2023 Matteo Iacopini, Aubrey Poon, Luca Rossini, Dan Zhu

Then, the proposed framework is exploited to examine the distributional effects of money growth on the distributions of inflation and its disaggregate measures in the United States and the Euro area.

Bayesian Multivariate Quantile Regression with alternative Time-varying Volatility Specifications

no code implementations29 Nov 2022 Matteo Iacopini, Francesco Ravazzolo, Luca Rossini

This article proposes a novel Bayesian multivariate quantile regression to forecast the tail behavior of US macro and financial indicators, where the homoskedasticity assumption is relaxed to allow for time-varying volatility.

regression

Bayesian Mixed-Frequency Quantile Vector Autoregression: Eliciting tail risks of Monthly US GDP

no code implementations5 Sep 2022 Matteo Iacopini, Aubrey Poon, Luca Rossini, Dan Zhu

Timely characterizations of risks in economic and financial systems play an essential role in both economic policy and private sector decisions.

Data Augmentation

Sparse time-varying parameter VECMs with an application to modeling electricity prices

no code implementations9 Nov 2020 Niko Hauzenberger, Michael Pfarrhofer, Luca Rossini

In this paper we propose a time-varying parameter (TVP) vector error correction model (VECM) with heteroskedastic disturbances.

Inference in Bayesian Additive Vector Autoregressive Tree Models

no code implementations29 Jun 2020 Florian Huber, Luca Rossini

The resulting Bayesian additive vector autoregressive tree (BAVART) model is capable of capturing arbitrary non-linear relations between the endogenous variables and the covariates without much input from the researcher.

A Pólya-Gamma Sampler for a Generalized Logistic Regression

1 code implementation6 Sep 2019 Luciana Dalla Valle, Fabrizio Leisen, Luca Rossini, Weixuan Zhu

In this paper we introduce a novel Bayesian data augmentation approach for estimating the parameters of the generalised logistic regression model.

Methodology Computation Other Statistics

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