1 code implementation • 18 Jul 2022 • Miguel E. P. Silva, Martyn Fyles, Li Pi, Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths, Caroline Jay, Thomas House, Elizabeth Fearon
Since regular asymptomatic testing requires only those with a positive result to reduce contact, while lockdown measures require the whole population to reduce contact, any policy decision that seeks to trade off harms from infection against other harms will not automatically favour one over the other.
1 code implementation • 11 May 2020 • Christopher E. Overton, Helena B. Stage, Shazaad Ahmad, Jacob Curran-Sebastian, Paul Dark, Rajenki Das, Elizabeth Fearon, Timothy Felton, Martyn Fyles, Nick Gent, Ian Hall, Thomas House, Hugo Lewkowicz, Xiaoxi Pang, Lorenzo Pellis, Robert Sawko, Andrew Ustianowski, Bindu Vekaria, Luke Webb
During an infectious disease outbreak, biases in the data and complexities of the underlying dynamics pose significant challenges in mathematically modelling the outbreak and designing policy.
Populations and Evolution Physics and Society
1 code implementation • 31 Mar 2020 • Lorenzo Pellis, Francesca Scarabel, Helena B. Stage, Christopher E. Overton, Lauren H. K. Chappell, Katrina A. Lythgoe, Elizabeth Fearon, Emma Bennett, Jacob Curran-Sebastian, Rajenki Das, Martyn Fyles, Hugo Lewkowicz, Xiaoxi Pang, Bindu Vekaria, Luke Webb, Thomas House, Ian Hall
Early assessments of the spreading rate of COVID-19 were subject to significant uncertainty, as expected with limited data and difficulties in case ascertainment, but more reliable inferences can now be made.
Populations and Evolution