Interplay between risk perception, behaviour, and COVID-19 spread

1 code implementation • 22 Dec 2021 • Philipp Dönges, Joel Wagner, Sebastian Contreras, Emil Iftekhar, Simon Bauer, Sebastian B. Mohr, Jonas Dehning, André Calero Valdez, Mirjam Kretzschmar, Michael Mäs, Kai Nagel, Viola Priesemann

They are complemented by voluntary health-protective behaviour, building a complex interplay between risk perception, behaviour, and disease spread.

Nachhaltige Strategien gegen die COVID-19-Pandemie in Deutschland im Winter 2021/2022

no code implementations • 10 Nov 2021 • Viola Priesemann, Eberhard Bodenschatz, Sandra Ciesek, Eva Grill, Emil N. Iftekhar, Christian Karagiannidis, André Karch, Mirjam Kretzschmar, Berit Lange, Sebastian A. Müller, Kai Nagel, Armin Nassehi, Mathias W. Pletz, Barbara Prainsack, Ulrike Protzer, Leif Erik Sander, Andreas Schuppert, Anita Schöbel, Klaus Überla, Carsten Watzl, Hajo Zeeb

In this position paper, a large group of interdisciplinary experts outlines response strategies against the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the winter of 2021/2022 in Germany.

Position

The winter dilemma

1 code implementation • 4 Oct 2021 • Sebastian Contreras, Philipp Dönges, Joel Wagner, Simon Bauer, Sebastian B. Mohr, Emil N. Iftekhar, Mirjam Kretzschmar, Michael Maes, Kai Nagel, André Calero Valdez, Viola Priesemann

Opinions, in turn, depend on information, e. g., about vaccine safety or current infection levels.

A look into the future of the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe: an expert consultation

no code implementations • 4 Jul 2021 • Emil Nafis Iftekhar, Viola Priesemann, Rudi Balling, Simon Bauer, Philippe Beutels, André Calero Valdez, Sarah Cuschieri, Thomas Czypionka, Uga Dumpis, Enrico Glaab, Eva Grill, Claudia Hanson, Pirta Hotulainen, Peter Klimek, Mirjam Kretzschmar, Tyll Krüger, Jenny Krutzinna, Nicola Low, Helena Machado, Carlos Martins, Martin McKee, Sebastian Bernd Mohr, Armin Nassehi, Matjaž Perc, Elena Petelos, Martyn Pickersgill, Barbara Prainsack, Joacim Rocklöv, Eva Schernhammer, Anthony Staines, Ewa Szczurek, Sotirios Tsiodras, Steven Van Gucht, Peter Willeit

A moderate, adaptive level of NPIs will thus remain necessary.

Key Questions for Modelling COVID-19 Exit Strategies

no code implementations • 21 Jun 2020 • Robin N Thompson, T Deirdre Hollingsworth, Valerie Isham, Daniel Arribas-Bel, Ben Ashby, Tom Britton, Peter Challoner, Lauren H K Chappell, Hannah Clapham, Nik J Cunniffe, A Philip Dawid, Christl A Donnelly, Rosalind Eggo, Sebastian Funk, Nigel Gilbert, Julia R Gog, Paul Glendinning, William S Hart, Hans Heesterbeek, Thomas House, Matt Keeling, Istvan Z Kiss, Mirjam Kretzschmar, Alun L Lloyd, Emma S McBryde, James M McCaw, Joel C Miller, Trevelyan J McKinley, Martina Morris, Philip D ONeill, Carl A B Pearson, Kris V Parag, Lorenzo Pellis, Juliet R C Pulliam, Joshua V Ross, Michael J Tildesley, Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba, Bernard W Silverman, Claudio J Struchiner, Pieter Trapman, Cerian R Webb, Denis Mollison, Olivier Restif

Combinations of intense non-pharmaceutical interventions ('lockdowns') were introduced in countries worldwide to reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission.