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Questioning the use of global estimates of reproduction numbers, with implications for policy
The basic reproduction number, $R_0$ is an important and widely used concept in the study of infectious diseases.
Modeling complex systems: A case study of compartmental models in epidemiology
Compartmental epidemic models have been widely used for predicting the course of epidemics, from estimating the basic reproduction number to guiding intervention policies.
Unmasking the mask studies: why the effectiveness of surgical masks in preventing respiratory infections has been underestimated
Here we show that when the adherence to mask-usage guidelines is taken into account, the empirical evidence indicates that masks prevent disease transmission: all studies we analyzed that did not find surgical masks to be effective were under-powered to such an extent that even if masks were 100% effective, the studies in question would still have been unlikely to find a statistically significant effect.
