Search Results for author: Peter Czuppon

Found 2 papers, 1 papers with code

The stochastic dynamics of early epidemics: probability of establishment, initial growth rate, and infection cluster size at first detection

1 code implementation17 Nov 2020 Peter Czuppon, Emmanuel Schertzer, François Blanquart, Florence Débarre

Here, we review existing mathematical results on the epidemic size over time, and derive new results to elucidate the early dynamics of an infection cluster started by a single infected individual.

From individual-based epidemic models to McKendrick-von Foerster PDEs: A guide to modeling and inferring COVID-19 dynamics

no code implementations19 Jul 2020 Félix Foutel-Rodier, François Blanquart, Philibert Courau, Peter Czuppon, Jean-Jil Duchamps, Jasmine Gamblin, Élise Kerdoncuff, Rob Kulathinal, Léo Régnier, Laura Vuduc, Amaury Lambert, Emmanuel Schertzer

We present a unifying, tractable approach for studying the spread of viruses causing complex diseases requiring to be modeled using a large number of types (e. g., infective stage, clinical state, risk factor class).

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