Search Results for author: Ilia Nouretdinov

Found 8 papers, 0 papers with code

Retrain or not retrain: Conformal test martingales for change-point detection

no code implementations20 Feb 2021 Vladimir Vovk, Ivan Petej, Ilia Nouretdinov, Ernst Ahlberg, Lars Carlsson, Alex Gammerman

We argue for supplementing the process of training a prediction algorithm by setting up a scheme for detecting the moment when the distribution of the data changes and the algorithm needs to be retrained.

Change Point Detection Conformal Prediction

Computationally efficient versions of conformal predictive distributions

no code implementations3 Nov 2019 Vladimir Vovk, Ivan Petej, Ilia Nouretdinov, Valery Manokhin, Alex Gammerman

Conformal predictive systems are a recent modification of conformal predictors that output, in regression problems, probability distributions for labels of test observations rather than set predictions.

Decision Making regression

Conformal predictive distributions with kernels

no code implementations24 Oct 2017 Vladimir Vovk, Ilia Nouretdinov, Valery Manokhin, Alex Gammerman

This paper reviews the checkered history of predictive distributions in statistics and discusses two developments, one from recent literature and the other new.

BIG-bench Machine Learning

Criteria of efficiency for conformal prediction

no code implementations14 Mar 2016 Vladimir Vovk, Ilia Nouretdinov, Valentina Fedorova, Ivan Petej, Alex Gammerman

We study optimal conformity measures for various criteria of efficiency of classification in an idealised setting.

Classification Conformal Prediction +1

Conformal Predictors for Compound Activity Prediction

no code implementations14 Mar 2016 Paolo Toccacheli, Ilia Nouretdinov, Alexander Gammerman

The paper presents an application of Conformal Predictors to a chemoinformatics problem of identifying activities of chemical compounds.

Activity Prediction Conformal Prediction

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