Search Results for author: Paul Fearnhead

Found 30 papers, 18 papers with code

A Constant-per-Iteration Likelihood Ratio Test for Online Changepoint Detection for Exponential Family Models

no code implementations9 Feb 2023 Kes Ward, Gaetano Romano, Idris Eckley, Paul Fearnhead

This is possible by using pruning ideas, which reduce the set of changepoint locations that need to be considered at time $T$ to approximately $\log T$.

A Log-Linear Non-Parametric Online Changepoint Detection Algorithm based on Functional Pruning

no code implementations6 Feb 2023 Gaetano Romano, Idris A Eckley, Paul Fearnhead

Thanks to functional pruning ideas, NP-FOCuS has a computational cost that is log-linear in the number of observations and is suitable for high-frequency data streams.

Automatic Change-Point Detection in Time Series via Deep Learning

1 code implementation7 Nov 2022 Jie Li, Paul Fearnhead, Piotr Fryzlewicz, Tengyao Wang

We show how to automatically generate new offline detection methods based on training a neural network.

Change Point Detection Time Series +1

Preferential Subsampling for Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics

1 code implementation28 Oct 2022 Srshti Putcha, Christopher Nemeth, Paul Fearnhead

Stochastic gradient MCMC (SGMCMC) offers a scalable alternative to traditional MCMC, by constructing an unbiased estimate of the gradient of the log-posterior with a small, uniformly-weighted subsample of the data.

Continuously-Tempered PDMP Samplers

no code implementations19 May 2022 Matthew Sutton, Robert Salomone, Augustin Chevallier, Paul Fearnhead

We show how PDMPs, and particularly the Zig-Zag sampler, can be implemented to sample from such an extended distribution.

Efficient computation of the volume of a polytope in high-dimensions using Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes

no code implementations18 Feb 2022 Augustin Chevallier, Frédéric Cazals, Paul Fearnhead

Computing the volume of a polytope in high dimensions is computationally challenging but has wide applications.

Fast Online Changepoint Detection via Functional Pruning CUSUM statistics

1 code implementation NeurIPS 2023 Gaetano Romano, Idris Eckley, Paul Fearnhead, Guillem Rigaill

Online algorithms for detecting a change in mean often involve using a moving window, or specifying the expected size of change.

Reversible Jump PDMP Samplers for Variable Selection

1 code implementation22 Oct 2020 Augustin Chevallier, Paul Fearnhead, Matthew Sutton

A new class of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, based on simulating piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs), have recently shown great promise: they are non-reversible, can mix better than standard MCMC algorithms, and can use subsampling ideas to speed up computation in big data scenarios.

Variable Selection

Subset Multivariate Collective And Point Anomaly Detection

no code implementations4 Sep 2019 Alexander T. M. Fisch, Idris A. Eckley, Paul Fearnhead

In recent years, there has been a growing interest in identifying anomalous structure within multivariate data streams.

Anomaly Detection

Stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo

1 code implementation16 Jul 2019 Christopher Nemeth, Paul Fearnhead

In this paper, we focus on a particular class of scalable Monte Carlo algorithms, stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo (SGMCMC) which utilises data subsampling techniques to reduce the per-iteration cost of MCMC.

Bayesian Inference

Stochastic Gradient MCMC for Nonlinear State Space Models

2 code implementations29 Jan 2019 Christopher Aicher, Srshti Putcha, Christopher Nemeth, Paul Fearnhead, Emily B. Fox

We evaluate our proposed particle buffered stochastic gradient using stochastic gradient MCMC for inference on both long sequential synthetic and minute-resolution financial returns data, demonstrating the importance of this class of methods.

Bayesian Inference Time Series +1

Generalized Functional Pruning Optimal Partitioning (GFPOP) for Constrained Changepoint Detection in Genomic Data

4 code implementations29 Sep 2018 Toby Dylan Hocking, Guillem Rigaill, Paul Fearnhead, Guillaume Bourque

We describe a new algorithm and R package for peak detection in genomic data sets using constrained changepoint algorithms.

Computation

Large-Scale Stochastic Sampling from the Probability Simplex

1 code implementation NeurIPS 2018 Jack Baker, Paul Fearnhead, Emily B. Fox, Christopher Nemeth

Unfortunately, many popular large-scale Bayesian models, such as network or topic models, require inference on sparse simplex spaces.

Bayesian Inference Topic Models

A linear time method for the detection of point and collective anomalies

1 code implementation5 Jun 2018 Alexander T. M. Fisch, Idris A. Eckley, Paul Fearnhead

Theoretical results establish the consistency of CAPA at detecting collective anomalies and, as a by-product, the consistency of a popular penalised cost based change in mean and variance detection method.

Fast Nonconvex Deconvolution of Calcium Imaging Data

1 code implementation21 Feb 2018 Sean Jewell, Toby Dylan Hocking, Paul Fearnhead, Daniela Witten

Calcium imaging data promises to transform the field of neuroscience by making it possible to record from large populations of neurons simultaneously.

Methodology Neurons and Cognition Applications

sgmcmc: An R Package for Stochastic Gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo

1 code implementation2 Oct 2017 Jack Baker, Paul Fearnhead, Emily B. Fox, Christopher Nemeth

To do this, the package uses the software library TensorFlow, which has a variety of statistical distributions and mathematical operations as standard, meaning a wide class of models can be built using this framework.

Bayesian Inference

Control Variates for Stochastic Gradient MCMC

1 code implementation16 Jun 2017 Jack Baker, Paul Fearnhead, Emily B. Fox, Christopher Nemeth

These methods use a noisy estimate of the gradient of the log posterior, which reduces the per iteration computational cost of the algorithm.

A log-linear time algorithm for constrained changepoint detection

7 code implementations9 Mar 2017 Toby Dylan Hocking, Guillem Rigaill, Paul Fearnhead, Guillaume Bourque

This leads to a new algorithm which can solve problems with arbitrary affine constraints on adjacent segment means, and which has empirical time complexity that is log-linear in the amount of data.

Time Series Time Series Analysis

Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes for Scalable Monte Carlo on Restricted Domains

4 code implementations16 Jan 2017 Joris Bierkens, Alexandre Bouchard-Côté, Arnaud Doucet, Andrew B. Duncan, Paul Fearnhead, Thibaut Lienart, Gareth Roberts, Sebastian J. Vollmer

Piecewise Deterministic Monte Carlo algorithms enable simulation from a posterior distribution, whilst only needing to access a sub-sample of data at each iteration.

Methodology Computation

Detecting changes in slope with an $L_0$ penalty

no code implementations6 Jan 2017 Robert Maidstone, Paul Fearnhead, Adam Letchford

We define best based on a criterion that measures fit to data using the residual sum of squares, but penalises complexity based on an $L_0$ penalty on changes in slope.

Time Series Time Series Analysis

Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes for Continuous-Time Monte Carlo

no code implementations23 Nov 2016 Paul Fearnhead, Joris Bierkens, Murray Pollock, Gareth O. Roberts

Recently there have been exciting developments in Monte Carlo methods, with the development of new MCMC and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms which are based on continuous-time, rather than discrete-time, Markov processes.

Changepoint Detection in the Presence of Outliers

1 code implementation23 Sep 2016 Paul Fearnhead, Guillem Rigaill

We present an approach to changepoint detection that is robust to the presence of outliers.

On the Identification and Mitigation of Weaknesses in the Knowledge Gradient Policy for Multi-Armed Bandits

no code implementations20 Jul 2016 James Edwards, Paul Fearnhead, Kevin Glazebrook

We study its use in a class of exponential family MABs and identify weaknesses, including a propensity to take actions which are dominated with respect to both exploitation and exploration.

Decision Making Multi-Armed Bandits

The Zig-Zag Process and Super-Efficient Sampling for Bayesian Analysis of Big Data

6 code implementations11 Jul 2016 Joris Bierkens, Paul Fearnhead, Gareth Roberts

Standard MCMC methods can scale poorly to big data settings due to the need to evaluate the likelihood at each iteration.

Computation Probability 65C60, 65C05, 62F15, 60J25

Particle Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithms

no code implementations23 Dec 2014 Christopher Nemeth, Chris Sherlock, Paul Fearnhead

This paper proposes a new sampling scheme based on Langevin dynamics that is applicable within pseudo-marginal and particle Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms.

Efficient penalty search for multiple changepoint problems

1 code implementation11 Dec 2014 Kaylea Haynes, Idris A. Eckley, Paul Fearnhead

The computational complexity of this approach can be linear in the number of data points and linear in the difference between the number of changepoints in the optimal segmentations for the smallest and largest penalty values.

Augmentation Schemes for Particle MCMC

no code implementations29 Aug 2014 Paul Fearnhead, Loukia Meligkotsidou

We then use the MCMC moves to update the latent variables, and the particle filter to propose new values for the parameters and stochastic process given the latent variables.

Particle Metropolis adjusted Langevin algorithms for state space models

no code implementations4 Feb 2014 Chris Nemeth, Paul Fearnhead

Currently the default is to use random walk Metropolis to update the parameter values.

Efficient Bayesian analysis of multiple changepoint models with dependence across segments

1 code implementation16 Oct 2009 Paul Fearnhead, Zhen Liu

We consider Bayesian analysis of a class of multiple changepoint models.

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