Search Results for author: Thomas Nagler

Found 11 papers, 7 papers with code

Interpretable Machine Learning for TabPFN

1 code implementation16 Mar 2024 David Rundel, Julius Kobialka, Constantin von Crailsheim, Matthias Feurer, Thomas Nagler, David Rügamer

The recently developed Prior-Data Fitted Networks (PFNs) have shown very promising results for applications in low-data regimes.

Data Valuation In-Context Learning +1

Second-Order Uncertainty Quantification: Variance-Based Measures

no code implementations30 Dec 2023 Yusuf Sale, Paul Hofman, Lisa Wimmer, Eyke Hüllermeier, Thomas Nagler

Uncertainty quantification is a critical aspect of machine learning models, providing important insights into the reliability of predictions and aiding the decision-making process in real-world applications.

Decision Making Uncertainty Quantification

An Online Bootstrap for Time Series

1 code implementation30 Oct 2023 Nicolai Palm, Thomas Nagler

In this paper, we propose a novel bootstrap method that is designed to account for data dependencies and can be executed online, making it particularly suitable for real-time applications.

Time Series Uncertainty Quantification

Statistical Foundations of Prior-Data Fitted Networks

no code implementations18 May 2023 Thomas Nagler

The pre-trained model is then used to infer class probabilities in-context on fresh training sets with arbitrary size and distribution.

Approximately Bayes-Optimal Pseudo Label Selection

no code implementations17 Feb 2023 Julian Rodemann, Jann Goschenhofer, Emilio Dorigatti, Thomas Nagler, Thomas Augustin

We derive this selection criterion by proving Bayes optimality of the posterior predictive of pseudo-samples.

Additive models Pseudo Label

Explaining predictive models using Shapley values and non-parametric vine copulas

no code implementations12 Feb 2021 Kjersti Aas, Thomas Nagler, Martin Jullum, Anders Løland

In this paper we propose two new approaches for modelling the dependence between the features.

Stationary vine copula models for multivariate time series

1 code implementation13 Aug 2020 Thomas Nagler, Daniel Krüger, Aleksey Min

Vine copulas are graphical models for the dependence and can conveniently capture both types of dependence in the same model.

Methodology

Asymptotic analysis of the jittering kernel density estimator

1 code implementation15 May 2017 Thomas Nagler

We give an in-depth analysis of the jittering kernel density estimator, which reveals several appealing properties.

Methodology

A generic approach to nonparametric function estimation with mixed data

4 code implementations24 Apr 2017 Thomas Nagler

In this case, any estimator developed in a purely continuous framework extends naturally to the mixed data setting.

Methodology

Generalized Additive Models for Pair-Copula Constructions

2 code implementations4 Aug 2016 Thibault Vatter, Thomas Nagler

Pair-copula constructions are flexible dependence models that use bivariate copulas as building blocks.

Methodology

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